Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[84])
72	26451	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	47460	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	50104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	61465	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	53726	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	39477	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	43895	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	31481	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	29896	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	33842	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	39120	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
83	33702	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
84	25094	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	51442	55808.884	48618.9696	62998.7984	0.1169	1	0.9886	1
86	45594	50694.6089	43239.3226	58149.8951	0.09	0.4221	0.5617	1
87	52518	55720.3737	47877.5215	63563.2259	0.2118	0.9943	0.0756	1
88	48564	50579.5819	42433.4816	58725.6822	0.3139	0.3205	0.2245	1
89	41745	43367.4295	35078.4444	51656.4146	0.3506	0.1096	0.8212	1
90	49585	44167.6071	35769.632	52565.5823	0.103	0.7141	0.5254	1
91	32747	37085.608	28618.0072	45553.2088	0.1576	0.0019	0.9027	0.9972
92	33379	30717.8861	22206.7133	39229.0589	0.27	0.3202	0.5751	0.9024
93	35645	33267.6009	24728.2295	41806.9724	0.2926	0.4898	0.4476	0.9697
94	37034	40185.1686	31630.5232	48739.814	0.2352	0.8509	0.5964	0.9997
95	35681	31819.4195	23257.6748	40381.1641	0.1883	0.1163	0.3332	0.9382
96	20972	22159.9315	13594.1182	30725.7447	0.3929	0.001	0.251	0.251

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
85	0.0657	-0.0782	0.0065	19069675.9279	1589139.6607	1260.6108
86	0.075	-0.1006	0.0084	26016210.9792	2168017.5816	1472.419
87	0.0718	-0.0575	0.0048	10255197.1233	854599.7603	924.4457
88	0.0822	-0.0398	0.0033	4062570.5916	338547.5493	581.8484
89	0.0975	-0.0374	0.0031	2632277.5054	219356.4588	468.3551
90	0.097	0.1227	0.0102	29348145.4488	2445678.7874	1563.8666
91	0.1165	-0.117	0.0097	18823519.598	1568626.6332	1252.4483
92	0.1414	0.0866	0.0072	7081527.1253	590127.2604	768.1974
93	0.131	0.0715	0.006	5652026.3967	471002.1997	686.296
94	0.1086	-0.0784	0.0065	9929863.4177	827488.6181	909.664
95	0.1373	0.1214	0.0101	14911804.1781	1242650.3482	1114.7423
96	0.1972	-0.0536	0.0045	1411181.1495	117598.4291	342.9263