Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[60])
480.53-------
490.53-------
500.54-------
510.55-------
520.55-------
530.55-------
540.55-------
550.55-------
560.55-------
570.55-------
580.55-------
590.56-------
600.56-------
610.560.55870.55020.56720.380.3810.38
620.560.56040.54860.57210.47450.52550.99970.5255
630.560.55970.54610.57330.48270.48270.91870.4827
640.550.55890.54230.57550.14710.44820.85290.4482
650.560.55970.54040.57890.48640.83770.83770.4864
660.550.55990.53870.58110.18020.49570.81980.4957
670.550.55950.53620.58280.21140.78860.78860.4839
680.560.55970.53440.5850.49140.77450.77450.4914
690.550.55840.53140.58540.27040.45450.72960.4545
700.550.55830.52960.5870.28570.71430.71430.4533
710.550.55740.52710.58770.31660.68340.43290.4329
720.550.55740.52560.58930.32330.67670.43750.4375


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
610.00780.00242e-04004e-04
620.0107-7e-041e-04001e-04
630.01245e-040001e-04
640.0152-0.01590.00131e-0400.0026
650.01756e-040001e-04
660.0193-0.01770.00151e-0400.0029
670.0212-0.0170.00141e-0400.0027
680.0235e-040001e-04
690.0247-0.01510.00131e-0400.0024
700.0262-0.01480.00121e-0400.0024
710.0278-0.01320.00111e-0400.0021
720.0291-0.01340.00111e-0400.0021