Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	3862	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	3608	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	3301	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3882	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	3605	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	4305	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	4216	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	3971	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	3988	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	4317	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	4484	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	4247	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	3520	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	3687	3488.7259	2999.3003	3978.1514	0.2136	0.4502	0.3164	0.4502
50	3405	3249.6126	2743.4335	3755.7917	0.2737	0.0452	0.4211	0.1476
51	3990	3717.7724	3204.7582	4230.7866	0.1492	0.8839	0.2652	0.7751
52	4047	3753.8915	3235.0611	4272.7219	0.1341	0.1862	0.7131	0.8115
53	4549	4380.4388	3855.9694	4904.9082	0.2644	0.8936	0.611	0.9993
54	4559	4301.445	3771.4107	4831.4793	0.1704	0.18	0.624	0.9981
55	3926	3625.1975	3089.658	4160.7371	0.1355	3e-04	0.1028	0.6499
56	4206	3688.1971	3147.2083	4229.1859	0.0303	0.1945	0.1387	0.7289
57	4517	4217.1958	3670.8111	4763.5805	0.1411	0.516	0.3602	0.9938
58	4387	4422.6866	3870.9501	4974.4231	0.4496	0.3688	0.4138	0.9993
59	3219	3859.8662	3302.7633	4416.969	0.0121	0.0318	0.0866	0.8841
60	3129	3575.7994	3012.9436	4138.6552	0.0599	0.893	0.577	0.577

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0716	0.0568	0.0047	39312.6376	3276.0531	57.2368
50	0.0795	0.0478	0.004	24145.2425	2012.1035	44.8565
51	0.0704	0.0732	0.0061	74107.8684	6175.6557	78.5853
52	0.0705	0.0781	0.0065	85912.5872	7159.3823	84.6131
53	0.0611	0.0385	0.0032	28412.8761	2367.7397	48.6594
54	0.0629	0.0599	0.005	66334.5638	5527.8803	74.3497
55	0.0754	0.083	0.0069	90482.1151	7540.1763	86.8342
56	0.0748	0.1404	0.0117	268119.8401	22343.32	149.4768
57	0.0661	0.0711	0.0059	89882.5709	7490.2142	86.546
58	0.0636	-0.0081	7e-04	1273.532	106.1277	10.3018
59	0.0736	-0.166	0.0138	410709.4295	34225.7858	185.0021
60	0.0803	-0.125	0.0104	199629.7011	16635.8084	128.9799