Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	217.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	199.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	219.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	211.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	215.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	240.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	242.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	240.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	255.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	253	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	218.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	203.7	212.4672	188.7941	236.1403	0.234	0.3175	0.7318	0.3175
50	205.6	201.9663	161.7922	242.1404	0.4296	0.4663	0.6512	0.2142
51	215.6	196.4509	148.796	244.1058	0.2155	0.3533	0.4534	0.1855
52	188.5	213.6735	158.6309	268.7162	0.185	0.4727	0.4206	0.436
53	202.9	209.8459	149.5184	270.1734	0.4107	0.756	0.4837	0.393
54	214	221.8523	156.7176	286.9869	0.4066	0.7158	0.5793	0.5438
55	230.3	234.6451	165.572	303.7183	0.4509	0.721	0.4374	0.6796
56	230	230.4206	157.8405	303.0008	0.4955	0.5013	0.3752	0.6293
57	241	238.2045	162.5988	313.8102	0.4711	0.5842	0.4742	0.698
58	259.6	249.031	170.7338	327.3283	0.3957	0.5797	0.4367	0.7799
59	247.8	255.3057	174.6335	335.9778	0.4277	0.4585	0.5223	0.8163
60	270.3	235.0917	152.2978	317.8856	0.2023	0.3818	0.6554	0.6554

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0568	-0.0413	0.0034	76.8639	6.4053	2.5309
50	0.1015	0.018	0.0015	13.2039	1.1003	1.049
51	0.1238	0.0975	0.0081	366.6893	30.5574	5.5279
52	0.1314	-0.1178	0.0098	633.7071	52.8089	7.267
53	0.1467	-0.0331	0.0028	48.245	4.0204	2.0051
54	0.1498	-0.0354	0.0029	61.6579	5.1382	2.2668
55	0.1502	-0.0185	0.0015	18.8803	1.5734	1.2543
56	0.1607	-0.0018	2e-04	0.1769	0.0147	0.1214
57	0.1619	0.0117	0.001	7.8149	0.6512	0.807
58	0.1604	0.0424	0.0035	111.7029	9.3086	3.051
59	0.1612	-0.0294	0.0024	56.3348	4.6946	2.1667
60	0.1797	0.1498	0.0125	1239.6215	103.3018	10.1637