Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	103.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	110.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	112.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	102.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	135.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	105.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	127.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	90.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	122.4	126.1969	112.3745	138.6482	0.275	1	0.912	1
50	123.3	117.2509	102.052	130.6941	0.1889	0.2264	0.9783	1
51	124.3	113.8009	97.849	127.7767	0.0705	0.0914	0.6631	0.9995
52	120	119.3248	103.1006	133.593	0.4631	0.2472	0.8222	1
53	118.1	109.9284	91.8322	125.4406	0.1509	0.1016	0.826	0.993
54	119	116.6481	99.7776	131.3696	0.3771	0.4234	0.7142	0.9998
55	142.7	138.4997	124.4642	151.2382	0.2591	0.9987	0.6723	1
56	123.6	115.958	98.5425	131.0796	0.161	3e-04	0.9203	0.9995
57	129.6	122.9765	106.6634	137.3658	0.1835	0.4662	0.26	1
58	146.9	139.4897	125.2709	152.3875	0.1301	0.9336	0.6474	1
59	108.7	97.7981	75.9683	115.5758	0.1147	0	0.7732	0.7895
60	99.4	97.6347	75.6363	115.5172	0.4233	0.1126	0.7829	0.7829

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0503	-0.0301	0.0025	14.4168	1.2014	1.0961
50	0.0585	0.0516	0.0043	36.5917	3.0493	1.7462
51	0.0627	0.0923	0.0077	110.2304	9.1859	3.0308
52	0.061	0.0057	5e-04	0.4559	0.038	0.1949
53	0.072	0.0743	0.0062	66.7749	5.5646	2.3589
54	0.0644	0.0202	0.0017	5.5315	0.461	0.6789
55	0.0469	0.0303	0.0025	17.6424	1.4702	1.2125
56	0.0665	0.0659	0.0055	58.4009	4.8667	2.2061
57	0.0597	0.0539	0.0045	43.8708	3.6559	1.912
58	0.0472	0.0531	0.0044	54.9124	4.576	2.1392
59	0.0927	0.1115	0.0093	118.8508	9.9042	3.1471
60	0.0934	0.0181	0.0015	3.1163	0.2597	0.5096