Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
47	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128	119.1752	139.5046	105.742	0.9011	0.1761	0.1761	0.1761
50	129.6	106.7429	121.8495	96.1458	1	1	1	0.8687
51	125.8	119.551	142.1707	105.141	0.8023	0.9142	0.9142	0.1792
52	119.5	118.4304	142.0253	103.6845	0.5565	0.8363	0.8363	0.2271
53	115.7	108.0498	125.1679	96.457	0.9021	0.9736	0.9736	0.789
54	113.6	118.3999	142.2428	103.5594	0.7369	0.3607	0.3607	0.2298
55	129.7	114.92	138.0203	100.5318	0.978	0.4286	0.4286	0.3864
56	112	109.3584	128.68	96.7448	0.6593	0.9992	0.9992	0.7036
57	116.8	118.5331	144.4905	102.8965	0.586	0.2064	0.2064	0.2362
58	126.3	113.9277	137.5325	99.3949	0.9524	0.6508	0.6508	0.4396
59	112.9	111.0442	132.5562	97.4584	0.6055	0.9861	0.9861	0.6
60	115.9	117.9913	144.9993	102.0115	0.6012	0.2662	0.2662	0.2621

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	-0.0575	0.074	0.0062	77.8767	6.4897	2.5475
50	-0.0507	0.2141	0.0178	522.4483	43.5374	6.5983
51	-0.0615	0.0523	0.0044	39.0499	3.2542	1.8039
52	-0.0635	0.009	8e-04	1.144	0.0953	0.3088
53	-0.0547	0.0708	0.0059	58.5254	4.8771	2.2084
54	-0.064	-0.0405	0.0034	23.0393	1.9199	1.3856
55	-0.0639	0.1286	0.0107	218.4487	18.2041	4.2666
56	-0.0588	0.0242	0.002	6.9783	0.5815	0.7626
57	-0.0673	-0.0146	0.0012	3.0037	0.2503	0.5003
58	-0.0651	0.1086	0.009	153.0732	12.7561	3.5716
59	-0.0624	0.0167	0.0014	3.444	0.287	0.5357
60	-0.0691	-0.0177	0.0015	4.3735	0.3645	0.6037