Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	93.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	106.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	95.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	95.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	98.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	111.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	86.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	91.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	107.9	111.5206	99.9183	124.4701	0.2918	0.9989	0.2394	0.9989
38	101.8	111.9652	99.4178	126.0962	0.0793	0.7136	0.4981	0.9979
39	104.4	104.2629	91.9897	118.1736	0.4923	0.6357	0.3817	0.9661
40	93.4	96.3308	84.9612	109.2219	0.3279	0.1099	0.5382	0.7778
41	100.1	94.8318	83.5494	107.6378	0.21	0.5867	0.429	0.7056
42	98.5	96.5035	85.022	109.5355	0.382	0.2943	0.5421	0.7831
43	112.9	102.1283	89.9525	115.9523	0.0634	0.6965	0.4508	0.9376
44	101.4	102.8609	90.5941	116.7887	0.4186	0.0789	0.5371	0.9481
45	107.1	97.7769	86.1071	111.0282	0.084	0.296	0.4633	0.831
46	110.8	111.9923	98.6217	127.1757	0.4388	0.7362	0.5305	0.9962
47	90.3	86.1759	75.8834	97.8645	0.2446	0	0.4717	0.1951
48	95.5	91.6896	80.7359	104.1293	0.2741	0.5867	0.5245	0.5245

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.0592	-0.0325	0.0027	13.1088	1.0924	1.0452
38	0.0644	-0.0908	0.0076	103.3316	8.611	2.9344
39	0.0681	0.0013	1e-04	0.0188	0.0016	0.0396
40	0.0683	-0.0304	0.0025	8.5893	0.7158	0.846
41	0.0689	0.0556	0.0046	27.7538	2.3128	1.5208
42	0.0689	0.0207	0.0017	3.9861	0.3322	0.5763
43	0.0691	0.1055	0.0088	116.0286	9.6691	3.1095
44	0.0691	-0.0142	0.0012	2.1343	0.1779	0.4217
45	0.0691	0.0954	0.0079	86.9203	7.2434	2.6913
46	0.0692	-0.0106	9e-04	1.4217	0.1185	0.3442
47	0.0692	0.0479	0.004	17.008	1.4173	1.1905
48	0.0692	0.0416	0.0035	14.5194	1.21	1.1