Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	122.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	121.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	131.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128.9	123.5193	113.2589	133.7797	0.152	0.9999	0.8863	0.9999
70	135.9	120.8758	110.6147	131.1368	0.0021	0.0627	0.9493	0.9992
71	133.3	117.1674	106.7646	127.5703	0.0012	2e-04	0.49	0.9919
72	121.3	112.0969	100.4846	123.7091	0.0602	2e-04	0.5668	0.9031
73	120.5	100.8073	89.1938	112.4208	4e-04	3e-04	0.4071	0.2721
74	120.4	105.5057	93.7647	117.2467	0.0065	0.0062	0.5798	0.5732
75	137.9	120.5618	108.5314	132.5922	0.0024	0.5105	0.3516	0.9958
76	126.1	111.5654	99.53	123.6007	0.009	0	0.7408	0.8784
77	133.2	113.0449	100.9387	125.151	6e-04	0.0173	0.0907	0.9192
78	146.6	129.0123	116.8287	141.1959	0.0023	0.2503	0.3445	1
79	103.4	87.1719	74.9825	99.3613	0.0045	0	0.3844	0.0028
80	117.2	100.9674	88.7457	113.189	0.0046	0.3482	0.291	0.291

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0424	0.0436	0.0036	28.9523	2.4127	1.5533
70	0.0433	0.1243	0.0104	225.7277	18.8106	4.3371
71	0.0453	0.1377	0.0115	260.2594	21.6883	4.6571
72	0.0529	0.0821	0.0068	84.6977	7.0581	2.6567
73	0.0588	0.1954	0.0163	387.8027	32.3169	5.6848
74	0.0568	0.1412	0.0118	221.8394	18.4866	4.2996
75	0.0509	0.1438	0.012	300.6134	25.0511	5.0051
76	0.055	0.1303	0.0109	211.2553	17.6046	4.1958
77	0.0546	0.1783	0.0149	406.23	33.8525	5.8183
78	0.0482	0.1363	0.0114	309.3275	25.7773	5.0771
79	0.0713	0.1862	0.0155	263.3515	21.946	4.6847
80	0.0618	0.1608	0.0134	263.4984	21.9582	4.686