Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	83.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	113.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	104	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	109.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	106.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	128.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	102.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	130	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	87	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.6	115.1527	95.7506	138.4863	0.4186	0.9899	0.5519	0.9899
38	103.4	111.5746	92.6873	134.3107	0.2405	0.3017	0.4545	0.981
39	110.8	105.0738	87.2246	126.5757	0.3008	0.5606	0.539	0.9454
40	112.6	108.9223	90.3705	131.2826	0.3736	0.4346	0.4659	0.9698
41	102.5	99.7725	82.7454	120.3034	0.3973	0.1104	0.5294	0.8793
42	112.4	105.5837	87.5379	127.3495	0.2697	0.6094	0.4743	0.9483
43	135.6	129.6604	107.4746	156.426	0.3318	0.8969	0.5222	0.999
44	105.1	110.533	91.604	133.3736	0.3205	0.0157	0.4806	0.976
45	127.7	103.359	85.6471	124.7337	0.0128	0.4366	0.5168	0.9271
46	137	129.4977	107.2958	156.2935	0.2916	0.5523	0.4853	0.9989
47	91	87.2935	72.3219	105.3644	0.3438	0	0.5127	0.4911
48	90.5	87.244	72.2768	105.3108	0.362	0.3418	0.4889	0.4889

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.1034	0.0213	0.0018	5.9894	0.4991	0.7065
38	0.104	-0.0733	0.0061	66.8242	5.5687	2.3598
39	0.1044	0.0545	0.0045	32.7889	2.7324	1.653
40	0.1047	0.0338	0.0028	13.5253	1.1271	1.0617
41	0.105	0.0273	0.0023	7.4391	0.6199	0.7874
42	0.1052	0.0646	0.0054	46.4625	3.8719	1.9677
43	0.1053	0.0458	0.0038	35.2788	2.9399	1.7146
44	0.1054	-0.0492	0.0041	29.5175	2.4598	1.5684
45	0.1055	0.2355	0.0196	592.484	49.3737	7.0266
46	0.1056	0.0579	0.0048	56.2851	4.6904	2.1657
47	0.1056	0.0425	0.0035	13.7381	1.1448	1.07
48	0.1057	0.0373	0.0031	10.6013	0.8834	0.9399