Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[81])
69	123.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
70	122	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
71	122.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
72	127.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
73	135.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
74	137.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
75	135	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
76	136	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
77	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
78	134.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
79	138.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
80	133.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
81	133.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
82	141.2	134.5786	127.2762	141.881	0.0378	0.6036	0.9996	0.6036
83	148.9	135.069	123.2338	146.9042	0.011	0.155	0.9841	0.5961
84	148.9	135.7317	120.6711	150.7922	0.0433	0.0433	0.8609	0.6093
85	156.6	137.8389	120.1315	155.5462	0.0189	0.1104	0.6149	0.6805
86	161.6	137.6153	117.6176	157.613	0.0094	0.0314	0.5123	0.653
87	160.7	137.8722	115.8208	159.9236	0.0212	0.0175	0.6008	0.6479
88	156	138.9261	114.9967	162.8556	0.081	0.0373	0.5947	0.6687
89	159.5	138.5374	112.8668	164.208	0.0547	0.0912	0.5042	0.6469
90	168.7	137.5491	110.2483	164.8499	0.0127	0.0575	0.581	0.6116
91	169.9	137.764	108.9249	166.6031	0.0145	0.0178	0.4828	0.6114
92	169.9	136.4434	106.1441	166.7427	0.0152	0.0152	0.5653	0.573
93	169.9	136.8173	105.1249	168.5097	0.0204	0.0204	0.5789	0.5789

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
82	0.0277	0.0492	0.0041	43.8427	3.6536	1.9114
83	0.0447	0.1024	0.0085	191.2957	15.9413	3.9927
84	0.0566	0.097	0.0081	173.4048	14.4504	3.8014
85	0.0655	0.1361	0.0113	351.9807	29.3317	5.4159
86	0.0741	0.1743	0.0145	575.2659	47.9388	6.9238
87	0.0816	0.1656	0.0138	521.1081	43.4257	6.5898
88	0.0879	0.1229	0.0102	291.5165	24.293	4.9288
89	0.0945	0.1513	0.0126	439.4304	36.6192	6.0514
90	0.1013	0.2265	0.0189	970.3778	80.8648	8.9925
91	0.1068	0.2333	0.0194	1032.7241	86.0603	9.2769
92	0.1133	0.2452	0.0204	1119.3433	93.2786	9.6581
93	0.1182	0.2418	0.0202	1094.466	91.2055	9.5502