Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	134	138.2788	134.9068	141.6507	0.0064	0	0	0
63	123	129.725	124.1397	135.3103	0.0091	0.0668	0.0053	0
64	116	124.3278	117.4803	131.1752	0.0086	0.648	0.014	0
65	117	117.4761	109.5015	125.4506	0.4534	0.6416	0.0322	0
66	111	115.3968	106.612	124.1816	0.1633	0.3603	0.0449	0
67	105	110.107	100.5869	119.6272	0.1465	0.4271	0.0779	0
68	102	107.6032	97.5001	117.7063	0.1385	0.6932	0.1073	0
69	95	104.9905	94.36	115.6209	0.0327	0.7093	0.1339	0
70	93	106.4301	95.3598	117.5004	0.0087	0.9785	0.162	0
71	124	139.0136	127.5468	150.4803	0.0051	1	0.197	0.0439
72	130	144.7041	132.8968	156.5114	0.0073	0.9997	0.1897	0.2379
73	124	144.096	131.9812	156.2108	6e-04	0.9887	0.2138	0.2138

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0124	-0.0309	0.0026	18.3078	1.5257	1.2352
63	0.022	-0.0518	0.0043	45.226	3.7688	1.9413
64	0.0281	-0.067	0.0056	69.3514	5.7793	2.404
65	0.0346	-0.0041	3e-04	0.2266	0.0189	0.1374
66	0.0388	-0.0381	0.0032	19.3318	1.611	1.2692
67	0.0441	-0.0464	0.0039	26.0817	2.1735	1.4743
68	0.0479	-0.0521	0.0043	31.3956	2.6163	1.6175
69	0.0517	-0.0952	0.0079	99.8091	8.3174	2.884
70	0.0531	-0.1262	0.0105	180.3686	15.0307	3.8769
71	0.0421	-0.108	0.009	225.4073	18.7839	4.334
72	0.0416	-0.1016	0.0085	216.2102	18.0175	4.2447
73	0.0429	-0.1395	0.0116	403.8491	33.6541	5.8012