Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[36])
24	93.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
26	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
27	106.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
28	95.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
29	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
30	95.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
31	103	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
32	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
33	98.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
34	111.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
35	86.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
36	91.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	107.9	100.4144	100.0984	100.7314	0	1	0	1
38	101.8	115.0745	114.7124	115.4378	0	1	1	1
39	104.4	108.9754	108.6323	109.3194	0	1	1	1
40	93.4	107.791	107.4517	108.1314	0	1	1	1
41	100.1	98.5273	98.2172	98.8384	0	1	1	1
42	98.5	98.0812	97.7725	98.3909	0.004	0	1	1
43	112.9	105.0621	104.7314	105.3938	0	1	1	1
44	101.4	103.9706	103.6434	104.2989	0	0	1	1
45	107.1	98.6893	98.3786	99.0009	0	0	0.9656	1
46	110.8	107.0949	106.7578	107.433	0	0.4881	0	1
47	90.3	89.1462	88.8656	89.4277	0	0	1	0
48	95.5	87.3836	87.1086	87.6595	0	0	0	0

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
37	0.0016	0.0745	0.0062	56.0341	4.6695	2.1609
38	0.0016	-0.1154	0.0096	176.213	14.6844	3.832
39	0.0016	-0.042	0.0035	20.9339	1.7445	1.3208
40	0.0016	-0.1335	0.0111	207.1011	17.2584	4.1543
41	0.0016	0.016	0.0013	2.4733	0.2061	0.454
42	0.0016	0.0043	4e-04	0.1754	0.0146	0.1209
43	0.0016	0.0746	0.0062	61.4331	5.1194	2.2626
44	0.0016	-0.0247	0.0021	6.608	0.5507	0.7421
45	0.0016	0.0852	0.0071	70.7405	5.895	2.428
46	0.0016	0.0346	0.0029	13.7281	1.144	1.0696
47	0.0016	0.0129	0.0011	1.3312	0.1109	0.3331
48	0.0016	0.0929	0.0077	65.8758	5.4896	2.343