Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[24])
12	149	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
13	150	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
14	144	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
15	112	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
16	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
17	114	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
18	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
19	123	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
20	125	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
21	132	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
22	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
23	147	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
24	157	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
25	157	159.5907	149.913	169.8932	0.3111	0.6889	0.966	0.6889
26	149	153.6996	142.6434	165.6128	0.2197	0.2936	0.9447	0.2936
27	113	121.7326	111.8079	132.5382	0.0566	0	0.9612	0
28	112	118.84	108.1458	130.5918	0.127	0.835	0.9045	0
29	117	119.3781	107.7242	132.2927	0.3591	0.8686	0.7928	0
30	122	122.3365	109.538	136.6305	0.4816	0.7678	0.7678	0
31	127	128.2551	114.0056	144.2858	0.439	0.7778	0.7397	2e-04
32	130	127.9897	112.9933	144.9763	0.4083	0.5455	0.6349	4e-04
33	135	139.4776	122.3387	159.0175	0.3267	0.8291	0.7734	0.0394
34	139	143.2246	124.851	164.3022	0.3472	0.7778	0.7186	0.1001
35	149	152.5201	132.1697	176.0039	0.3845	0.8704	0.6775	0.3542
36	161	159.657	137.5705	185.2894	0.4591	0.7924	0.5805	0.5805

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
25	0.0329	-0.0162	0.0014	6.7118	0.5593	0.7479
26	0.0395	-0.0306	0.0025	22.0865	1.8405	1.3567
27	0.0453	-0.0717	0.006	76.2583	6.3549	2.5209
28	0.0505	-0.0576	0.0048	46.7862	3.8989	1.9746
29	0.0552	-0.0199	0.0017	5.6551	0.4713	0.6865
30	0.0596	-0.0028	2e-04	0.1133	0.0094	0.0971
31	0.0638	-0.0098	8e-04	1.5754	0.1313	0.3623
32	0.0677	0.0157	0.0013	4.0413	0.3368	0.5803
33	0.0715	-0.0321	0.0027	20.0488	1.6707	1.2926
34	0.0751	-0.0295	0.0025	17.8476	1.4873	1.2196
35	0.0786	-0.0231	0.0019	12.3911	1.0326	1.0162
36	0.0819	0.0084	7e-04	1.8036	0.1503	0.3877