Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	96.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	118.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	130.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	137.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	115	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	116.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	140.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	120.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	134.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	147.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128.4	129.4899	114.6706	146.2245	0.4492	0.9956	0.8968	0.9956
70	137.7	130.7469	115.2836	148.2843	0.2186	0.6035	0.977	0.9959
71	135	126.714	111.2612	144.3131	0.1781	0.1106	0.3366	0.9855
72	151	138.2915	120.9355	158.1384	0.1047	0.6274	0.5154	0.999
73	137.4	118.0161	102.8386	135.4335	0.0146	1e-04	0.6328	0.8904
74	132.4	124.1301	107.7589	142.9884	0.195	0.0839	0.7769	0.9616
75	161.3	145.1093	125.5091	167.7705	0.0807	0.8642	0.6421	0.9995
76	139.8	132.3004	114.0208	153.5106	0.2441	0.0037	0.8581	0.9901
77	146	134.7273	115.7066	156.8747	0.1592	0.3267	0.5186	0.9928
78	154.6	151.3754	129.5603	176.8638	0.4021	0.6603	0.623	0.9997
79	142.1	121.9042	103.9875	142.9079	0.0297	0.0011	0.8124	0.9164
80	120.5	111.9183	95.1567	131.6324	0.1968	0.0013	0.684	0.684

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0659	-0.0084	7e-04	1.188	0.099	0.3146
70	0.0684	0.0532	0.0044	48.3459	4.0288	2.0072
71	0.0709	0.0654	0.0054	68.6571	5.7214	2.392
72	0.0732	0.0919	0.0077	161.5061	13.4588	3.6686
73	0.0753	0.1642	0.0137	375.7365	31.3114	5.5957
74	0.0775	0.0666	0.0056	68.3916	5.6993	2.3873
75	0.0797	0.1116	0.0093	262.1377	21.8448	4.6738
76	0.0818	0.0567	0.0047	56.2437	4.687	2.1649
77	0.0839	0.0837	0.007	127.0745	10.5895	3.2542
78	0.0859	0.0213	0.0018	10.3977	0.8665	0.9308
79	0.0879	0.1657	0.0138	407.8702	33.9892	5.83
80	0.0899	0.0767	0.0064	73.6453	6.1371	2.4773