Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[60])
48	110.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	110.14	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	110.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	110.97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	110.99	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	109.73	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	109.81	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	110.02	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	110.18	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	110.21	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	110.25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	110.36	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	110.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	110.64	110.5228	110.1152	110.9303	0.2865	0.5245	0.9672	0.5245
62	110.95	110.9311	110.3535	111.5087	0.4745	0.8384	0.6595	0.9235
63	111.18	111.0103	110.3024	111.7181	0.3192	0.5663	0.5444	0.917
64	111.19	111.0043	110.1866	111.822	0.3281	0.3368	0.5137	0.882
65	111.69	110.7127	109.7984	111.6271	0.0181	0.1532	0.9824	0.6681
66	111.7	110.769	109.7672	111.7708	0.0343	0.0358	0.9697	0.6938
67	111.83	110.8568	109.7746	111.9389	0.039	0.0634	0.9352	0.735
68	111.77	111.0969	109.9399	112.2538	0.1271	0.1071	0.9398	0.8399
69	111.73	111.1084	109.8812	112.3356	0.1604	0.1453	0.9243	0.8304
70	112.01	111.1132	109.8195	112.4068	0.0871	0.175	0.9045	0.8196
71	111.86	110.8797	109.5228	112.2365	0.0784	0.0513	0.7736	0.7033
72	112.04	110.9862	109.569	112.4035	0.0725	0.1134	0.7449	0.7449

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
61	0.0019	0.0011	1e-04	0.0137	0.0011	0.0338
62	0.0027	2e-04	0	4e-04	0	0.0055
63	0.0033	0.0015	1e-04	0.0288	0.0024	0.049
64	0.0038	0.0017	1e-04	0.0345	0.0029	0.0536
65	0.0042	0.0088	7e-04	0.955	0.0796	0.2821
66	0.0046	0.0084	7e-04	0.8668	0.0722	0.2688
67	0.005	0.0088	7e-04	0.9471	0.0789	0.2809
68	0.0053	0.0061	5e-04	0.4531	0.0378	0.1943
69	0.0056	0.0056	5e-04	0.3864	0.0322	0.1794
70	0.0059	0.0081	7e-04	0.8043	0.067	0.2589
71	0.0062	0.0088	7e-04	0.961	0.0801	0.283
72	0.0065	0.0095	8e-04	1.1104	0.0925	0.3042