Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	91.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	107.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	101.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	93.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	100.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	98.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	112.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	101.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	107.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	110.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	90.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	95.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	111.4	111.4123	100.7727	122.0519	0.4991	0.9983	0.7412	0.9983
50	113	103.2547	91.9203	114.589	0.046	0.0795	0.5993	0.91
51	107.5	105.8297	93.6703	117.9891	0.3939	0.1239	0.5911	0.952
52	95.9	93.8732	81.6557	106.0906	0.3725	0.0144	0.5303	0.3971
53	106.3	100.699	88.3373	113.0608	0.1873	0.7766	0.5378	0.7951
54	105.2	98.6346	86.2696	110.9997	0.149	0.1122	0.5085	0.6904
55	117.2	113.1602	100.7668	125.5535	0.2614	0.896	0.5164	0.9974
56	106.9	101.4254	89.032	113.8188	0.1933	0.0063	0.5016	0.8256
57	108.2	107.2177	94.8182	119.6172	0.4383	0.52	0.5074	0.968
58	110	110.7949	98.3953	123.1945	0.45	0.6592	0.4997	0.9922
59	96.1	90.3557	77.9546	102.7567	0.182	0.001	0.5035	0.2081
60	100.6	95.4896	83.0885	107.8908	0.2096	0.4616	0.4993	0.4993

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0487	-1e-04	0	2e-04	0	0.0036
50	0.056	0.0944	0.0079	94.9715	7.9143	2.8132
51	0.0586	0.0158	0.0013	2.79	0.2325	0.4822
52	0.0664	0.0216	0.0018	4.108	0.3423	0.5851
53	0.0626	0.0556	0.0046	31.3707	2.6142	1.6169
54	0.064	0.0666	0.0055	43.1039	3.592	1.8953
55	0.0559	0.0357	0.003	16.3204	1.36	1.1662
56	0.0623	0.054	0.0045	29.9711	2.4976	1.5804
57	0.059	0.0092	8e-04	0.9649	0.0804	0.2836
58	0.0571	-0.0072	6e-04	0.6319	0.0527	0.2295
59	0.07	0.0636	0.0053	32.9974	2.7498	1.6582
60	0.0663	0.0535	0.0045	26.1159	2.1763	1.4752