Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	87.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	103.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	110.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	112.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	102.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	135.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	105.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	127.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	137	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	91	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	90.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	122.4	124.9514	109.7591	140.1437	0.371	1	0.8285	1
50	123.3	116.9446	101.5792	132.3099	0.2088	0.2432	0.958	0.9996
51	124.3	114.5231	98.9481	130.0981	0.1093	0.1347	0.6803	0.9987
52	120	119.0456	102.8009	135.2904	0.4542	0.2631	0.7816	0.9997
53	118.1	108.8807	92.4799	125.2814	0.1353	0.092	0.7771	0.986
54	119	116.9768	100.5756	133.3781	0.4045	0.4466	0.7078	0.9992
55	142.7	139.7966	123.2985	156.2947	0.3651	0.9933	0.691	1
56	123.6	115.7566	99.1301	132.3831	0.1776	7e-04	0.8955	0.9985
57	129.6	122.8523	106.1773	139.5274	0.2139	0.465	0.2844	0.9999
58	146.9	140.9226	124.1885	157.6566	0.2419	0.9076	0.677	1
59	108.7	96.3984	79.5825	113.2144	0.0758	0	0.7354	0.7541
60	99.4	96.3425	79.4603	113.2248	0.3613	0.0757	0.7512	0.7512

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.062	-0.0204	0.0017	6.5095	0.5425	0.7365
50	0.067	0.0543	0.0045	40.3914	3.366	1.8347
51	0.0694	0.0854	0.0071	95.5881	7.9657	2.8224
52	0.0696	0.008	7e-04	0.9108	0.0759	0.2755
53	0.0769	0.0847	0.0071	84.996	7.083	2.6614
54	0.0715	0.0173	0.0014	4.0932	0.3411	0.584
55	0.0602	0.0208	0.0017	8.4297	0.7025	0.8381
56	0.0733	0.0678	0.0056	61.5197	5.1266	2.2642
57	0.0693	0.0549	0.0046	45.531	3.7942	1.9479
58	0.0606	0.0424	0.0035	35.7297	2.9775	1.7255
59	0.089	0.1276	0.0106	151.3288	12.6107	3.5512
60	0.0894	0.0317	0.0026	9.348	0.779	0.8826