Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[48])
3660-------
3789.9-------
3877-------
3985.3-------
4077.6-------
4169.2-------
4275.5-------
4385.7-------
4472.2-------
4579.9-------
4685.3-------
4752.2-------
4861.2-------
4982.488.884476.6189101.14990.150110.43551
5085.476.715864.00189.43050.09030.19050.48250.9916
5178.285.476472.378498.57450.13810.50460.51050.9999
5270.277.125763.094291.15710.16670.44040.47360.9869
5370.269.208555.097983.31910.44520.44520.50050.867
5469.375.424961.108589.74130.20090.76280.49590.9743
5577.585.539771.090499.9890.13770.98620.49130.9995
5666.172.201657.717986.68530.20450.23670.50010.9317
576979.825865.28294.36970.07230.96780.4960.994
5875.385.251770.68499.81930.09030.98560.49740.9994
5958.252.185137.603466.76690.20949e-040.49920.1128
6059.761.160946.56575.75670.42220.65450.49790.4979


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
490.0704-0.0730.006142.04683.50391.8719
500.08460.11320.009475.4166.28472.5069
510.0782-0.08510.007152.94674.41222.1005
520.0928-0.08980.007547.9653.99711.9993
530.1040.01430.00120.9830.08190.2862
540.0968-0.08120.006837.51423.12621.7681
550.0862-0.0940.007864.63665.38642.3209
560.1023-0.08450.00737.233.10251.7614
570.093-0.13560.0113117.1989.76653.1251
580.0872-0.11670.009799.03588.2532.8728
590.14260.11530.009636.17853.01491.7363
600.1218-0.02390.0022.13410.17780.4217