Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	107.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	127.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	119.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	116.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	111	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	112.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	130.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	109.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	118.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	123.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	101.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	112.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128	134.8912	125.0984	144.6839	0.0839	1	0.9357	1
50	129.6	125.1203	115.2131	135.0275	0.1877	0.2844	0.9414	0.9926
51	125.8	122.7727	112.8027	132.7427	0.2759	0.0898	0.7205	0.975
52	119.5	125.4299	113.199	137.6607	0.171	0.4764	0.9304	0.9785
53	115.7	108.7883	96.3563	121.2202	0.1379	0.0456	0.3637	0.2635
54	113.6	115.5351	102.9797	128.0905	0.3813	0.4897	0.6877	0.6653
55	129.7	133.8508	120.1935	147.5081	0.2757	0.9982	0.6796	0.9987
56	112	112.2521	98.3635	126.1408	0.4858	0.0069	0.6718	0.4692
57	116.8	116.0657	102.0208	130.1106	0.4592	0.7148	0.3514	0.6757
58	126.3	132.7259	118.0466	147.4051	0.1954	0.9833	0.8807	0.9961
59	112.9	111.8689	96.9628	126.775	0.4461	0.0289	0.9115	0.4513
60	115.9	117.0575	101.9854	132.1295	0.4402	0.7056	0.7101	0.7101

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.037	-0.0511	0.0043	47.488	3.9573	1.9893
50	0.0404	0.0358	0.003	20.0675	1.6723	1.2932
51	0.0414	0.0247	0.0021	9.1647	0.7637	0.8739
52	0.0498	-0.0473	0.0039	35.1634	2.9303	1.7118
53	0.0583	0.0635	0.0053	47.7719	3.981	1.9952
54	0.0554	-0.0167	0.0014	3.7447	0.3121	0.5586
55	0.0521	-0.031	0.0026	17.2292	1.4358	1.1982
56	0.0631	-0.0022	2e-04	0.0636	0.0053	0.0728
57	0.0617	0.0063	5e-04	0.5392	0.0449	0.212
58	0.0564	-0.0484	0.004	41.2917	3.441	1.855
59	0.068	0.0092	8e-04	1.0632	0.0886	0.2977
60	0.0657	-0.0099	8e-04	1.3397	0.1116	0.3341