Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	205	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	194	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	199.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	219.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	211.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	215.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	240.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	242.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	240.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	255.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	253	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	218.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	203.7	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	205.6	191.0674	131.0021	278.673	0.3725	0.3887	0.4738	0.3887
50	215.6	213.3909	146.3078	311.232	0.4824	0.562	0.6111	0.577
51	188.5	221.4803	151.8542	323.0304	0.2622	0.5452	0.5168	0.6343
52	202.9	199.7886	136.9817	291.393	0.4735	0.5954	0.4044	0.4667
53	214	190.1931	130.4026	277.3978	0.2963	0.3876	0.287	0.3807
54	230.3	230.6261	158.1248	336.3696	0.4976	0.621	0.4296	0.6911
55	230	260.6147	178.686	380.1083	0.3078	0.6905	0.6187	0.8247
56	241	221.3511	151.7656	322.8419	0.3522	0.4337	0.3543	0.6334
57	259.6	236.5585	162.1923	345.0221	0.3386	0.468	0.3667	0.7237
58	247.8	225.3027	154.4749	328.6054	0.3347	0.2576	0.2996	0.6591
59	270.3	188.7548	129.4165	275.3001	0.0324	0.0906	0.2524	0.3675
60	289.7	192.724	132.1379	281.0892	0.0157	0.0427	0.4038	0.4038

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.2339	0.0761	0.0063	211.1969	17.5997	4.1952
50	0.2339	0.0104	9e-04	4.8801	0.4067	0.6377
51	0.2339	-0.1489	0.0124	1087.699	90.6416	9.5206
52	0.2339	0.0156	0.0013	9.6807	0.8067	0.8982
53	0.2339	0.1252	0.0104	566.7687	47.2307	6.8725
54	0.2339	-0.0014	1e-04	0.1063	0.0089	0.0941
55	0.2339	-0.1175	0.0098	937.2624	78.1052	8.8377
56	0.2339	0.0888	0.0074	386.081	32.1734	5.6722
57	0.2339	0.0974	0.0081	530.9087	44.2424	6.6515
58	0.2339	0.0999	0.0083	506.1304	42.1775	6.4944
59	0.2339	0.432	0.036	6649.6155	554.1346	23.5401
60	0.2339	0.5032	0.0419	9404.3447	783.6954	27.9946