| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.1471 | 0.5553 | 0.2298 | -0.4055 | 0.8059 | -0.6301 | -0.4055 |
| (p-val) | (0.5785 ) | (0 ) | (0.2476 ) | (0.6672 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.6672 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0619 | 0.6058 | 0.2749 | 0 | 0.7527 | -0.577 | -0.6733 |
| (p-val) | (0.7712 ) | (0 ) | (0.1088 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (4e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | -0.1099 | -0.2662 | 0 | 0.8998 | 0.0767 | -0.7619 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3408 ) | (0.0141 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.6044 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0.3943 | 0.066 | 0 | -0.1872 | 0 | 0.5141 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.0119 ) | (0.5652 ) | (NA ) | (0.606 ) | (NA ) | (0.1577 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0.3342 | 0.0886 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3326 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (7e-04 ) | (0.3362 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0011 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0.3439 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.354 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 33.2589783931702 |
| -7.91207710197769 |
| -361.373925608862 |
| -323.127352578253 |
| -323.416963031977 |
| 295.49889116074 |
| 1396.83160777466 |
| -1.53942013119187 |
| -654.970842701264 |
| -999.268592844647 |
| -128.230079218773 |
| 629.960866705679 |
| 752.495166138516 |
| -1040.43151502322 |
| -306.566331038141 |
| -47.1680714328868 |
| -7.94380414353873 |
| 59.5019832446051 |
| 1583.34295374734 |
| 689.517531520149 |
| -2186.24698182053 |
| -373.396925606117 |
| -81.7828083237073 |
| 610.03134056583 |
| 642.175633634328 |
| -763.032139252598 |
| -702.468198403101 |
| 102.955594970743 |
| -140.310747491072 |
| 88.22104774541 |
| 1786.48774930462 |
| -197.194697576077 |
| -1533.08867998589 |
| -222.211339484114 |
| -201.035644446551 |
| 497.200941114224 |
| 741.67070056298 |
| -474.182639264101 |
| -533.327495230016 |
| -261.666061897497 |
| 353.99456439419 |
| -73.8694846667713 |
| 1409.68726726279 |
| 251.156918319095 |
| -297.64246160382 |
| -40.9012137305763 |
| -1170.40449425815 |
| 939.743035174404 |
| 868.56635648735 |
| -844.452992859297 |
| -289.025039897489 |
| -1170.10570210361 |
| 527.103203940831 |
| 269.508209532814 |
| 2463.00225766685 |
| -196.781088932275 |
| -1100.78178718414 |
| 760.59576550527 |
| 727.060345229867 |
| 200.321967987962 |
| 1324.544541926 |
| -287.309595685416 |
| 485.398156638017 |
| 357.078185471408 |
| -98.0137042901843 |
| 373.910386689597 |
| 2978.11549994820 |
| 271.654417158112 |
| -2547.58785471595 |
| 739.459190414549 |
| 478.200400026268 |
| 1694.32550114839 |
| 1051.91468486965 |
| -26.3276182624395 |
| 577.405732246669 |
| 823.467266661974 |
| -570.142172614927 |
| 1203.52261708272 |
| 2290.10202817534 |
| 7882.15736374175 |
| -3668.20707581607 |
| 509.926903934174 |
| -204.975728871941 |
| 565.964646540087 |
| 1285.41848132442 |
| 355.42213297596 |
| 148.319977325635 |
| 91.9301727439743 |
| 378.282165482553 |
| 812.625778745933 |
| 2311.02185708241 |
| 379.724480361692 |
| -1312.94215564092 |
| 740.036983688959 |
| 1254.40500137889 |
| 1029.47829220077 |
| 1015.27587738143 |
| -143.454748029340 |
| 369.792672066033 |
| -489.006167269414 |
| 1360.75527131109 |
| -40.4902609045675 |
| 1298.49186009378 |
| -2.19699673212017 |
| 334.176281947308 |
| -662.248740938259 |
| -30.2252180153155 |
| 367.431243500658 |
