Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	122.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	121.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	131.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128.9	120.7736	109.1517	133.6328	0.1077	0.9937	0.707	0.9937
70	135.9	120.3681	108.7853	133.1842	0.0088	0.096	0.8914	0.9927
71	133.3	115.6363	104.5088	127.9486	0.0025	6e-04	0.3956	0.9632
72	121.3	111.5032	100.7734	123.3754	0.0529	2e-04	0.5265	0.8795
73	120.5	103.2003	93.2668	114.1918	0.001	6e-04	0.5708	0.4153
74	120.4	106.1982	95.9761	117.5089	0.0069	0.0066	0.6289	0.6223
75	137.9	121.6149	109.9089	134.5676	0.0069	0.5729	0.4229	0.9954
76	126.1	113.3799	102.4665	125.4555	0.0195	0	0.8259	0.9275
77	133.2	114.9944	103.9257	127.2421	0.0018	0.0378	0.1565	0.955
78	146.6	130.1693	117.6399	144.0332	0.0101	0.3342	0.4254	0.9999
79	103.4	89.536	80.9177	99.0721	0.0022	0	0.5439	0.0011
80	117.2	102.7654	92.8738	113.7106	0.0049	0.4548	0.3849	0.3849

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0543	0.0673	0.0056	66.0391	5.5033	2.3459
70	0.0543	0.129	0.0108	241.2386	20.1032	4.4837
71	0.0543	0.1528	0.0127	312.0049	26.0004	5.0991
72	0.0543	0.0879	0.0073	95.9777	7.9981	2.8281
73	0.0543	0.1676	0.014	299.2779	24.9398	4.994
74	0.0543	0.1337	0.0111	201.692	16.8077	4.0997
75	0.0543	0.1339	0.0112	265.2052	22.1004	4.7011
76	0.0543	0.1122	0.0093	161.8017	13.4835	3.672
77	0.0543	0.1583	0.0132	331.4424	27.6202	5.2555
78	0.0543	0.1262	0.0105	269.9669	22.4972	4.7431
79	0.0543	0.1548	0.0129	192.2111	16.0176	4.0022
80	0.0543	0.1405	0.0117	208.3569	17.3631	4.1669