Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	122.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	121.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	131.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	128.9	122.6862	109.4168	137.5649	0.2065	0.992	0.7651	0.992
50	135.9	118.0925	105.3007	132.4381	0.0075	0.0699	0.7856	0.9693
51	133.3	121.399	107.7104	136.8273	0.0653	0.0327	0.6987	0.9846
52	121.3	114.2193	100.9385	129.2475	0.1779	0.0064	0.6579	0.8998
53	120.5	104.6494	92.4145	118.5042	0.0125	0.0092	0.6355	0.5141
54	120.4	106.162	93.6277	120.3743	0.0248	0.024	0.6013	0.596
55	137.9	124.7061	109.9154	141.487	0.0617	0.6925	0.5835	0.9911
56	126.1	108.8652	95.921	123.5561	0.0107	1e-04	0.567	0.7243
57	133.2	122.419	107.8326	138.9784	0.101	0.3315	0.5527	0.9835
58	146.6	132.4827	116.6798	150.4258	0.0615	0.4688	0.5427	0.9989
59	103.4	89.5281	78.8411	101.6638	0.0125	0	0.534	0.0082
60	117.2	104.8939	92.3665	119.1204	0.045	0.5815	0.5271	0.5271

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.0619	0.0506	0.0042	38.6108	3.2176	1.7938
50	0.062	0.1508	0.0126	317.1087	26.4257	5.1406
51	0.0648	0.098	0.0082	141.6339	11.8028	3.4355
52	0.0671	0.062	0.0052	50.136	4.178	2.044
53	0.0675	0.1515	0.0126	251.241	20.9368	4.5757
54	0.0683	0.1341	0.0112	202.7209	16.8934	4.1102
55	0.0687	0.1058	0.0088	174.0803	14.5067	3.8088
56	0.0689	0.1583	0.0132	297.0385	24.7532	4.9753
57	0.069	0.0881	0.0073	116.2307	9.6859	3.1122
58	0.0691	0.1066	0.0089	199.2989	16.6082	4.0753
59	0.0692	0.1549	0.0129	192.4298	16.0358	4.0045
60	0.0692	0.1173	0.0098	151.4403	12.62	3.5525