Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	96.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	117.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	112.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	111.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	102.2	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	122.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	107.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	121.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	131.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	89	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	104.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	128.9	124.243	113.2121	136.3487	0.2254	0.9993	0.8729	0.9993
70	135.9	122.7253	111.8245	134.6888	0.0154	0.1559	0.9562	0.9987
71	133.3	117.0839	106.5229	128.692	0.0031	7e-04	0.4854	0.9839
72	121.3	111.5707	100.1792	124.2575	0.0664	4e-04	0.529	0.866
73	120.5	100.1822	89.9535	111.574	2e-04	1e-04	0.3642	0.234
74	120.4	105.9786	95.0027	118.2226	0.0105	0.01	0.6059	0.5998
75	137.9	120.5303	107.6501	134.9516	0.0091	0.5071	0.3737	0.9858
76	126.1	112.9327	100.8617	126.4484	0.0281	1e-04	0.7803	0.892
77	133.2	111.7653	99.7103	125.2779	9e-04	0.0188	0.0833	0.8573
78	146.6	128.875	114.8436	144.6208	0.0137	0.2952	0.3719	0.9988
79	103.4	87.179	77.6825	97.8365	0.0014	0	0.3689	8e-04
80	117.2	100.5586	89.5516	112.9186	0.0042	0.3261	0.2712	0.2712

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0497	0.0375	0.0031	21.6879	1.8073	1.3444
70	0.0497	0.1074	0.0089	173.5728	14.4644	3.8032
71	0.0506	0.1385	0.0115	262.9622	21.9135	4.6812
72	0.058	0.0872	0.0073	94.6597	7.8883	2.8086
73	0.058	0.2028	0.0169	412.8128	34.4011	5.8652
74	0.0589	0.1361	0.0113	207.9767	17.3314	4.1631
75	0.061	0.1441	0.012	301.7056	25.1421	5.0142
76	0.0611	0.1166	0.0097	173.378	14.4482	3.8011
77	0.0617	0.1918	0.016	459.4444	38.287	6.1877
78	0.0623	0.1375	0.0115	314.1748	26.1812	5.1168
79	0.0624	0.1861	0.0155	263.1196	21.9266	4.6826
80	0.0627	0.1655	0.0138	276.9359	23.078	4.804