Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[96])
84	100.55	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
85	100.83	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
86	101.51	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
87	102.16	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
88	102.39	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
89	102.54	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
90	102.85	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
91	103.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
92	103.57	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
93	103.69	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
94	103.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
95	103.47	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
96	103.45	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
97	103.48	103.6867	103.2159	104.1574	0.1948	0.8378	1	0.8378
98	103.93	104.0323	103.3674	104.6971	0.3815	0.9482	1	0.957
99	103.89	104.2556	103.4417	105.0696	0.1893	0.7835	1	0.9738
100	104.4	104.4808	103.5411	105.4204	0.4331	0.8911	1	0.9842
101	104.79	104.6601	103.6096	105.7105	0.4042	0.6862	1	0.988
102	104.77	104.7311	103.5805	105.8817	0.4736	0.46	0.9993	0.9855
103	105.13	104.965	103.7223	106.2078	0.3974	0.6208	0.9908	0.9916
104	105.26	104.9902	103.6617	106.3187	0.3453	0.4183	0.9819	0.9885
105	104.96	105.1677	103.7587	106.5768	0.3863	0.4489	0.9801	0.9916
106	104.75	105.1337	103.6485	106.6189	0.3063	0.5906	0.9845	0.9869
107	105.01	105.1733	103.6157	106.731	0.4186	0.7029	0.984	0.9849
108	105.15	105.1016	103.4747	106.7285	0.4768	0.5439	0.9767	0.9767

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
97	0.0023	-0.002	2e-04	0.0427	0.0036	0.0597
98	0.0033	-0.001	1e-04	0.0105	9e-04	0.0295
99	0.004	-0.0035	3e-04	0.1337	0.0111	0.1055
100	0.0046	-8e-04	1e-04	0.0065	5e-04	0.0233
101	0.0051	0.0012	1e-04	0.0169	0.0014	0.0375
102	0.0056	4e-04	0	0.0015	1e-04	0.0112
103	0.006	0.0016	1e-04	0.0272	0.0023	0.0476
104	0.0065	0.0026	2e-04	0.0728	0.0061	0.0779
105	0.0068	-0.002	2e-04	0.0432	0.0036	0.06
106	0.0072	-0.0036	3e-04	0.1472	0.0123	0.1108
107	0.0076	-0.0016	1e-04	0.0267	0.0022	0.0471
108	0.0079	5e-04	0	0.0023	2e-04	0.014