Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
67	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	99.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	97.4	103.3194	116.1145	93.3617	0.878	0.2261	0.2261	0.2261
70	105.6	99.8716	112.7263	89.954	0.8712	0.3126	0.3126	0.4707
71	117.5	101.0096	114.2337	90.847	0.9993	0.812	0.812	0.3855
72	107.4	102.745	117.5725	91.614	0.7938	0.9953	0.9953	0.2839
73	97.8	99.3207	112.9812	88.9441	0.613	0.9365	0.9365	0.5135
74	91.5	100.4836	114.6604	89.7812	0.95	0.3115	0.3115	0.4285
75	107.7	102.2047	119.34	89.8403	0.8082	0.0449	0.0449	0.3341
76	100.1	100.0298	116.7166	87.9722	0.5046	0.8938	0.8938	0.4657
77	96.6	101.0726	118.3629	88.6667	0.7601	0.4389	0.4389	0.4019
78	106.8	101.9143	120.5031	88.8221	0.7677	0.2131	0.2131	0.3589
79	98	99.9825	117.8336	87.3306	0.6206	0.8546	0.8546	0.4702
80	98.6	100.8848	119.3885	87.8739	0.6346	0.3319	0.3319	0.4174

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	-0.0492	-0.0573	0.0048	35.0391	2.9199	1.7088
70	-0.0507	0.0574	0.0048	32.8151	2.7346	1.6537
71	-0.0513	0.1633	0.0136	271.9325	22.661	4.7604
72	-0.0553	0.0453	0.0038	21.6688	1.8057	1.3438
73	-0.0533	-0.0153	0.0013	2.3124	0.1927	0.439
74	-0.0543	-0.0894	0.0075	80.7044	6.7254	2.5933
75	-0.0617	0.0538	0.0045	30.1985	2.5165	1.5864
76	-0.0615	7e-04	1e-04	0.0049	4e-04	0.0203
77	-0.0626	-0.0443	0.0037	20.0042	1.667	1.2911
78	-0.0655	0.0479	0.004	23.8696	1.9891	1.4104
79	-0.0646	-0.0198	0.0017	3.9302	0.3275	0.5723
80	-0.0658	-0.0226	0.0019	5.2203	0.435	0.6596