ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iterationar1ar2ar3ma1
Estimates ( 1 )0.3131-0.1719-0.2154-0.8863
(p-val)(0.0281 )(0.2027 )(0.1159 )(0 )
Estimates ( 2 )0.27220-0.259-0.9002
(p-val)(0.0491 )(NA )(0.0546 )(0 )
Estimates ( 3 )0.348900-1.0637
(p-val)(0.0128 )(NA )(NA )(0 )


Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.00142776918711717
0.00902886024553525
0.00449132845756056
-0.0186333614350435
0.071747997375639
-0.0155655593306208
-0.0295013754485824
0.00696571755104308
0.00633929812315351
0.0125106408428653
0.0459558410666201
0.0334468895950537
-0.0229843100731789
0.00980112011258624
0.00226346008823928
-0.0116887075672682
-0.0123925917869148
0.0168325794465438
0.039457631505606
-0.00339099089663211
-0.00351118644890856
-0.00288554777388186
0.0149015511036017
-0.0097903738203559
-0.0126138081555629
0.0145080585315323
0.00863042557818982
0.0267233553838763
0.0304124749880546
0.0248890169463468
-0.0228707645807173
0.0126142952231295
0.00350246834798459
0.0106262666752038
0.00522676649828568
0.0319282955571958
-0.00222999977178436
-0.00674899075287627
0.00480167803594461
0.0659709044562436
-0.0278073414156431
-0.044275894493652
-0.00598303694523577
0.00772426178647581
0.0274181769029124
-0.0303497597909694
0.0507833751273642
0.0144134073083609
-0.0213437300451853
-0.0380456015060698
-0.0188537560096802
0.00240219110066165
-0.00587491604826986
-0.00578398187360988
-0.0191814065574323
0.00468959833043456
0.0235510974650927
0.0321943742312653
0.0177663362653968