Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[24])
12578-------
13565-------
14547-------
15555-------
16562-------
17561-------
18555-------
19544-------
20537-------
21543-------
22594-------
23611-------
24613-------
256110-1073.15151073.15150.13220.13140.15110.1314
265940-1073.15151073.15150.1390.13220.15890.1314
275950-1073.15151073.15150.13860.1390.15540.1314
285910-1073.15151073.15150.14020.13860.15230.1314
295890-1073.15151073.15150.1410.14020.15280.1314
305840-1073.15151073.15150.14310.1410.15540.1314
315730-1073.15151073.15150.14770.14310.16020.1314
325670-1073.15151073.15150.15020.14770.16340.1314
335690-1073.15151073.15150.14940.15020.16070.1314
346210-1073.15151073.15150.12840.14940.1390.1314
356290-1073.15151073.15150.12530.12840.13220.1314
366280-1073.15151073.15150.12570.12530.13140.1314
376120-1073.15151073.15150.13180.12570.13220.1314
385950-1073.15151073.15150.13860.13180.1390.1314
395970-1073.15151073.15150.13780.13860.13860.1314
405930-1073.15151073.15150.13940.13780.14020.1314
415900-1073.15151073.15150.14060.13940.1410.1314
425800-1073.15151073.15150.14470.14060.14310.1314
435740-1073.15151073.15150.14720.14470.14770.1314
445730-1073.15151073.15150.14770.14720.15020.1314
455730-1073.15151073.15150.14770.14770.14940.1314
466200-1073.15151073.15150.12870.14770.12840.1314
476260-1073.15151073.15150.12650.12870.12530.1314
486200-1073.15151073.15150.12870.12650.12570.1314
495880-1073.15151073.15150.14140.12870.13180.1314
505660-1073.15151073.15150.15060.14140.13860.1314
515570-1073.15151073.15150.15450.15060.13780.1314
525610-1073.15151073.15150.15280.15450.13940.1314
535490-1073.15151073.15150.1580.15280.14060.1314
545320-1073.15151073.15150.16560.1580.14470.1314
555260-1073.15151073.15150.16840.16560.14720.1314
565110-1073.15151073.15150.17530.16840.14770.1314
574990-1073.15151073.15150.1810.17530.14770.1314
585550-1073.15151073.15150.15540.1810.12870.1314
595650-1073.15151073.15150.15110.15540.12650.1314
605420-1073.15151073.15150.16110.15110.12870.1314


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
25InfInfInf37332110370.0278101.8333
26InfInfInf352836980199
27InfInfInf3540259834.027899.1667
28InfInfInf3492819702.2598.5
29InfInfInf3469219636.694498.1667
30InfInfInf3410569473.777897.3333
31InfInfInf3283299120.2595.5
32InfInfInf3214898930.2594.5
33InfInfInf3237618993.361194.8333
34InfInfInf38564110712.25103.5
35InfInfInf39564110990.0278104.8333
36InfInfInf39438410955.1111104.6667
37InfInfInf37454410404102
38InfInfInf3540259834.027899.1667
39InfInfInf3564099900.2599.5
40InfInfInf3516499768.027898.8333
41InfInfInf3481009669.444498.3333
42InfInfInf3364009344.444496.6667
43InfInfInf3294769152.111195.6667
44InfInfInf3283299120.2595.5
45InfInfInf3283299120.2595.5
46InfInfInf38440010677.7778103.3333
47InfInfInf39187610885.4444104.3333
48InfInfInf38440010677.7778103.3333
49InfInfInf345744960498
50InfInfInf3203568898.777894.3333
51InfInfInf3102498618.027892.8333
52InfInfInf3147218742.2593.5
53InfInfInf3014018372.2591.5
54InfInfInf2830247861.777888.6667
55InfInfInf2766767685.444487.6667
56InfInfInf2611217253.361185.1667
57InfInfInf2490016916.694483.1667
58InfInfInf3080258556.2592.5
59InfInfInf3192258867.361194.1667
60InfInfInf2937648160.111190.3333