Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
49	77	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
51	90	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
52	94	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
53	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
54	96	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
55	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
56	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	93	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	100	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	95	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	97	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	103	96.1879	84.6528	107.7229	0.1235	0.4451	0.8535	0.4451
63	102	95.6007	81.2669	109.9345	0.1908	0.1558	0.7781	0.4241
64	93	95.1763	79.5122	110.8404	0.3927	0.1966	0.5585	0.4097
65	99	94.8695	78.5075	111.2315	0.3104	0.5886	0.3993	0.3993
66	100	94.6477	77.9002	111.3951	0.2655	0.3052	0.4371	0.3915
67	97	94.4873	77.5188	111.4558	0.3858	0.2621	0.5682	0.3858
68	104	94.3714	77.272	111.4708	0.1349	0.3816	0.5625	0.3816
69	102	94.2876	77.1083	111.4669	0.1895	0.1339	0.5584	0.3785
70	103	94.227	76.9975	111.4565	0.1591	0.1883	0.3762	0.3762
71	100	94.1832	76.9214	111.445	0.2545	0.1584	0.2545	0.3745
72	90	94.1515	76.8683	111.4347	0.3189	0.2536	0.4617	0.3733
73	90	94.1286	76.8311	111.4262	0.32	0.68	0.3725	0.3725

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0612	0.0708	0.0059	46.4053	3.8671	1.9665
63	0.0765	0.0669	0.0056	40.9505	3.4125	1.8473
64	0.084	-0.0229	0.0019	4.7363	0.3947	0.6282
65	0.088	0.0435	0.0036	17.0613	1.4218	1.1924
66	0.0903	0.0566	0.0047	28.6476	2.3873	1.5451
67	0.0916	0.0266	0.0022	6.3137	0.5261	0.7254
68	0.0924	0.102	0.0085	92.7105	7.7259	2.7795
69	0.093	0.0818	0.0068	59.4816	4.9568	2.2264
70	0.0933	0.0931	0.0078	76.9658	6.4138	2.5326
71	0.0935	0.0618	0.0051	33.8353	2.8196	1.6792
72	0.0937	-0.0441	0.0037	17.2351	1.4363	1.1984
73	0.0938	-0.0439	0.0037	17.0456	1.4205	1.1918