| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.7526 | -0.4211 | 0.1919 | -0.4957 | -0.1308 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.038 ) | (0.1904 ) | (0.0161 ) | (0.4834 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.7529 | -0.4281 | 0.1864 | -0.4452 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.0287 ) | (0.1997 ) | (0.0127 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.8882 | -0.6165 | 0 | -0.5087 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0024 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -40.0773145770001 |
| -944.309059327985 |
| -755.49300216454 |
| -864.171973539122 |
| -748.59475119742 |
| 655.776022634095 |
| 241.710865395620 |
| -89.7611795839961 |
| -2266.58799868467 |
| -538.343168212334 |
| -527.15412329574 |
| -454.253961371221 |
| 461.30833015144 |
| 101.363638814497 |
| -118.120370150914 |
| 1228.38044740478 |
| 13.0747435040647 |
| -101.150380919666 |
| -122.257510515295 |
| -262.014773847752 |
| 188.636869362280 |
| 246.530091151399 |
| -140.991670007085 |
| -458.889266967592 |
| -223.296630608335 |
| 359.56822267783 |
| -440.77676224317 |
| 492.026149880559 |
| -666.667500690598 |
| 266.241371791490 |
| 28.0602629949353 |
| -258.4284352988 |
| 826.316564314024 |
| 62.1838231776 |
| 71.3851882979361 |
| 766.668272470095 |
| -351.44962940294 |
| 326.252844844963 |
| 812.534762740932 |
| 580.844224686282 |
| -1172.41707406428 |
| 1106.19568473486 |
| -143.280777791439 |
| 1013.24827624312 |
| -528.346729847553 |
| -78.6395391130773 |
| 503.980715778809 |
| 725.643861463972 |
| -358.432830936539 |
| -846.688072147333 |
| 245.166242597443 |
| 527.297043602557 |
| 155.047730547059 |
