| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.2569 | 0.4042 | 0.2902 | 0.3186 | 0.3735 |
| (p-val) | (0.0459 ) | (0.001 ) | (0.0269 ) | (0.0116 ) | (0.0156 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.5097 | 0.4374 | 0.2758 | 0.4088 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0204 ) | (0.0059 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 106.979676567482 |
| 64.8795591768028 |
| 162.685797942725 |
| 11.6779095345187 |
| -34.7131601890157 |
| 44.8546934657709 |
| 173.346096360842 |
| -172.407699030979 |
| -11.5753805391651 |
| 98.3019296148163 |
| 13.1900807270619 |
| -62.4220566340156 |
| 43.5898236723829 |
| 83.7471948563823 |
| 238.262564004843 |
| -92.9240635107437 |
| 80.5518194360657 |
| -176.256829630546 |
| 89.7074600801382 |
| -35.8828543474426 |
| 447.20338060134 |
| 26.174054858886 |
| -41.2987809795272 |
| -127.465440189101 |
| -69.0876460583578 |
| 53.1794694274333 |
| -79.1129360285556 |
| -115.391978798287 |
| 3.19173706524293 |
| 84.1036076683456 |
| -20.5208559760423 |
| -143.268922461541 |
| -208.532459471519 |
| 144.368749620088 |
| 152.606400125072 |
| -60.5585840994819 |
| 34.3600691439574 |
| 13.3902206596429 |
| -48.812328963824 |
| 186.625024976872 |
| 23.5200725081149 |
| -88.0910100298156 |
| -23.8581606199747 |
| -80.2371147661997 |
| -154.373118116129 |
| 188.803531655844 |
| 32.8324918475485 |
| 7.51361206357342 |
| 0.635400071760273 |
| -99.4768932579901 |
| -99.585196553603 |
| 113.446268601542 |
| 71.0473569517883 |
| -75.6424055149475 |
| 119.341680161387 |
| 3.90531364886613 |
| 102.477993603662 |
| -31.2361070261630 |
| -91.7296753244851 |
| 64.9565595966627 |
