| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.8566 | -0.5894 | -0.0622 | -0.2075 |
| (p-val) | (0.0768 ) | (0.2091 ) | (0.8456 ) | (0.655 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.7717 | -0.5046 | 0 | -0.285 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (0.0014 ) | (NA ) | (0.1463 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.9413 | -0.6008 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -52.3790054485179 |
| -289.481355589424 |
| 494.54194663302 |
| -161.125204916602 |
| -45.2267527881661 |
| 1005.83628177171 |
| -36.925832079854 |
| 342.83495958438 |
| 1314.25091544284 |
| 886.810954721906 |
| -316.233471096358 |
| 973.745937230418 |
| -92.417005828337 |
| 1076.25126575013 |
| -75.5456237596632 |
| -214.411641621588 |
| 626.287476189197 |
| 379.357831457496 |
| -137.635148298157 |
| -812.262311443738 |
| -609.835033108426 |
| -44.651415815144 |
| 472.685585828795 |
| -562.929480961792 |
| -1192.81827342019 |
| -237.703233795914 |
| 566.534266798622 |
| -793.652665734495 |
| 460.448716456503 |
| 423.638176953718 |
| 957.424373075894 |
| -106.311946635185 |
| 570.668466212301 |
| -2032.19598908302 |
| 693.606967808613 |
| 92.597484465634 |
| 809.012710462503 |
| -494.504523392054 |
| -1073.88309892307 |
| 881.714920620533 |
| 36.6734655900618 |
| -1601.5256027092 |
| -224.158321349372 |
| 183.388509822322 |
| 118.159975774703 |
| 709.77497795103 |
| 197.046298972702 |
| 609.162452013902 |
| 973.491760730554 |
