Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
timeY[t]F[t]95% LB95% UBp-value
(H0: Y[t] = F[t])
P(F[t]>Y[t-1])P(F[t]>Y[t-s])P(F[t]>Y[68])
56121.8-------
57125.4-------
58129.7-------
59129.4-------
60134.5-------
61141.2-------
62141.4-------
63152.2-------
64167.7-------
65173.3-------
66168.7-------
67172.6-------
68169.8-------
69172172.3234164.7028179.9440.46690.741810.7418
70179.4171.9893159.3977184.58090.12430.499310.6334
71174.6172.2864156.2542188.31850.38860.192210.6194
72172.5174.5209155.7177193.3240.41660.496710.6887
73172.6178.7883157.6182199.95840.28330.71980.99970.7973
74176.3179.3164156.0589202.57380.39970.71430.99930.7887
75178.9185.7466160.6108210.88240.29670.76930.99550.8932
76179.6192.8914166.0418219.74110.1660.84650.9670.9541
77179.9194.1795165.75222.6090.16240.84260.9250.9536
78180.3193.2537163.3567223.15080.19790.80930.94630.9379
79180.9197.08165.8113228.34870.15520.85360.93750.9564
80177.7196.3016163.7444228.85870.13140.82310.94470.9447


Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time% S.E.PEMAPESq.EMSERMSE
690.0226-0.00192e-040.10460.00870.0934
700.03740.04310.003654.91844.57652.1393
710.04750.01340.00115.35290.44610.6679
720.055-0.01160.0014.08390.34030.5834
730.0604-0.03460.002938.29473.19121.7864
740.0662-0.01680.00149.09850.75820.8707
750.069-0.03690.003146.87553.90631.9764
760.071-0.06890.0057176.662214.72193.8369
770.0747-0.07350.0061203.903916.9924.1221
780.0789-0.0670.0056167.799213.98333.7394
790.0809-0.08210.0068261.792821.81614.6708
800.0846-0.09480.0079346.018328.83495.3698