Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[61])
60	626	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	620	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	588	619.7309	585.0848	654.3771	0.0363	0.4939	0.4939	0.4939
63	566	620.913	564.9279	676.898	0.0273	0.8754	0.8754	0.5127
64	557	622.4624	549.436	695.4889	0.0395	0.9352	0.9352	0.5263
65	561	624.1049	536.6243	711.5855	0.0787	0.9336	0.9336	0.5366
66	549	625.771	525.4912	726.0508	0.0667	0.8972	0.8972	0.5449
67	532	627.443	515.4945	739.3915	0.0474	0.9152	0.9152	0.5518
68	526	629.1165	506.3176	751.9154	0.0499	0.9394	0.9394	0.5578
69	511	630.7904	497.7615	763.8193	0.0388	0.9387	0.9387	0.5632
70	499	632.4644	489.6931	775.2358	0.0335	0.9523	0.9523	0.5679
71	555	634.1385	482.0186	786.2583	0.1539	0.9592	0.9592	0.5723
72	565	635.8125	474.6696	796.9553	0.1945	0.8372	0.8372	0.5763
73	542	637.4865	467.5942	807.3788	0.1353	0.7985	0.7985	0.5799

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
62	0.0285	-0.0512	0.0043	1006.8524	83.9044	9.1599
63	0.046	-0.0884	0.0074	3015.4347	251.2862	15.852
64	0.0599	-0.1052	0.0088	4285.3303	357.1109	18.8974
65	0.0715	-0.1011	0.0084	3982.2319	331.8527	18.2168
66	0.0818	-0.1227	0.0102	5893.7829	491.1486	22.1619
67	0.091	-0.1521	0.0127	9109.3646	759.1137	27.552
68	0.0996	-0.1639	0.0137	10633.0158	886.0847	29.7672
69	0.1076	-0.1899	0.0158	14349.7454	1195.8121	34.5805
70	0.1152	-0.211	0.0176	17812.7531	1484.3961	38.5279
71	0.1224	-0.1248	0.0104	6262.895	521.9079	22.8453
72	0.1293	-0.1114	0.0093	5014.4086	417.8674	20.4418
73	0.136	-0.1498	0.0125	9117.6765	759.8064	27.5646