Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
Prod[t] = + 19.1968864455273 + 1.1337268515953Tot[t] -0.264635094351931Conjun[t] -0.264628251011800Mach[t] -0.0782681301598515`Elek `[t] + 0.0924904460551557t + e[t] |
Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
(Intercept) | 19.1968864455273 | 6.173543 | 3.1095 | 0.00266 | 0.00133 |
Tot | 1.1337268515953 | 0.135972 | 8.3379 | 0 | 0 |
Conjun | -0.264635094351931 | 2.274984 | -0.1163 | 0.907711 | 0.453855 |
Mach | -0.264628251011800 | 0.12479 | -2.1206 | 0.037307 | 0.018654 |
`Elek ` | -0.0782681301598515 | 0.095623 | -0.8185 | 0.415698 | 0.207849 |
t | 0.0924904460551557 | 0.05528 | 1.6731 | 0.098528 | 0.049264 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
Multiple R | 0.922878188965104 |
R-squared | 0.85170415166751 |
Adjusted R-squared | 0.841684161915316 |
F-TEST (value) | 85.0005012710633 |
F-TEST (DF numerator) | 5 |
F-TEST (DF denominator) | 74 |
p-value | 0 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
Residual Standard Deviation | 5.25380915697527 |
Sum Squared Residuals | 2042.58578868587 |
Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
1 | 97.3 | 105.206921080818 | -7.9069210808179 |
2 | 101 | 108.961831150456 | -7.96183115045556 |
3 | 113.2 | 122.068574409798 | -8.86857440979768 |
4 | 101 | 101.498627796619 | -0.498627796619182 |
5 | 105.7 | 108.153292899398 | -2.45329289939816 |
6 | 113.9 | 112.744150118673 | 1.15584988132733 |
7 | 86.4 | 88.4437087960664 | -2.04370879606636 |
8 | 96.5 | 87.7189247031028 | 8.78107529689716 |
9 | 103.3 | 105.228070136834 | -1.92807013683375 |
10 | 114.9 | 109.446480832286 | 5.45351916771417 |
11 | 105.8 | 107.474707960747 | -1.67470796074669 |
12 | 94.2 | 96.5762310572258 | -2.37623105722575 |
13 | 98.4 | 97.1306754111254 | 1.26932458887457 |
14 | 99.4 | 99.8705865544694 | -0.470586554469342 |
15 | 108.8 | 109.258726197055 | -0.458726197054978 |
16 | 112.6 | 107.478039987961 | 5.12196001203938 |
17 | 104.4 | 105.928961418175 | -1.52896141817511 |
18 | 112.2 | 111.657095391925 | 0.542904608074616 |
19 | 81.1 | 86.8773175728138 | -5.77731757281377 |
20 | 97.1 | 89.1084493659064 | 7.99155063409357 |
21 | 112.6 | 110.496244393415 | 2.10375560658479 |
22 | 113.8 | 116.552361493513 | -2.75236149351288 |
23 | 107.8 | 105.27022125078 | 2.52977874922 |
24 | 103.2 | 99.0825951931535 | 4.11740480684653 |
25 | 103.3 | 97.0136551763242 | 6.28634482367584 |
26 | 101.2 | 99.9977978855862 | 1.20220211441385 |
27 | 107.7 | 106.048561070100 | 1.65143892990029 |
28 | 110.4 | 103.305539496348 | 7.09446050365188 |
29 | 101.9 | 103.282228109586 | -1.38222810958605 |
30 | 115.9 | 108.840382091371 | 7.0596179086286 |
31 | 89.9 | 90.511399123977 | -0.611399123977073 |
32 | 88.6 | 81.2921513944442 | 7.3078486055558 |
33 | 117.2 | 106.800251991758 | 10.3997480082421 |
34 | 123.9 | 108.118530329249 | 15.7814696707512 |
35 | 100 | 102.372461494373 | -2.3724614943731 |
36 | 103.6 | 105.565880305903 | -1.96588030590310 |
37 | 94.1 | 96.143831144909 | -2.04383114490905 |
38 | 98.7 | 100.040513311392 | -1.34051331139153 |
39 | 119.5 | 119.433470010324 | 0.0665299896765028 |
40 | 112.7 | 111.440694659944 | 1.25930534005560 |
41 | 104.4 | 103.163113626731 | 1.23688637326927 |
42 | 124.7 | 122.504290518272 | 2.19570948172791 |
43 | 89.1 | 91.7785097027512 | -2.67850970275117 |
44 | 97 | 99.9151033159535 | -2.9151033159535 |
45 | 121.6 | 118.422578636299 | 3.17742136370136 |
46 | 118.8 | 118.309184811417 | 0.490815188582529 |
47 | 114 | 110.393790777757 | 3.60620922224281 |
48 | 111.5 | 111.097303028903 | 0.402696971097087 |
49 | 97.2 | 105.143324922479 | -7.9433249224791 |
50 | 102.5 | 108.871206384825 | -6.37120638482532 |
51 | 113.4 | 122.771965236446 | -9.37196523644642 |
52 | 109.8 | 113.413115938435 | -3.61311593843453 |
53 | 104.9 | 104.999759700941 | -0.0997597009410196 |
54 | 126.1 | 133.093957451903 | -6.99395745190259 |
55 | 80 | 91.103217809565 | -11.1032178095649 |
56 | 96.8 | 97.579435369419 | -0.779435369419105 |
57 | 117.2 | 120.061599325869 | -2.86159932586941 |
58 | 112.3 | 110.122037398811 | 2.17796260118940 |
59 | 117.3 | 117.705989107760 | -0.405989107759516 |
60 | 111.1 | 114.773847339569 | -3.67384733956903 |
61 | 102.2 | 107.571301497769 | -5.37130149776945 |
62 | 104.3 | 113.965934966365 | -9.66593496636503 |
63 | 122.9 | 129.924890995573 | -7.02489099557296 |
64 | 107.6 | 108.724957878327 | -1.12495787832671 |
65 | 121.3 | 123.390664435892 | -2.09066443589201 |
66 | 131.5 | 131.401760621190 | 0.0982393788103453 |
67 | 89 | 96.1885477725295 | -7.1885477725295 |
68 | 104.4 | 102.382883092917 | 2.01711690708265 |
69 | 128.9 | 127.486518604400 | 1.41348139559956 |
70 | 135.9 | 130.872085070755 | 5.02791492924512 |
71 | 133.3 | 130.129358433623 | 3.17064156637664 |
72 | 121.3 | 119.880802544012 | 1.41919745598785 |
73 | 120.5 | 121.851117667460 | -1.35111766746044 |
74 | 120.4 | 119.274438178845 | 1.12556182115509 |
75 | 137.9 | 134.740711784208 | 3.15928821579202 |
76 | 126.1 | 120.236532501931 | 5.86346749806875 |
77 | 133.2 | 125.051106716660 | 8.14889328333979 |
78 | 146.6 | 139.703384735491 | 6.89661526450892 |
79 | 103.4 | 109.859123711361 | -6.4591237113608 |
80 | 117.2 | 110.500405618681 | 6.69959438131872 |