ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
Iteration | ar1 | ma1 | sar1 | sma1 |
Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0802 | -1 | -0.8637 | 0.9992 |
(p-val) | (0.5484 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0127 ) |
Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | -1 | -0.8577 | 1.0002 |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.0134 ) |
Estimates ( 3 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA |
(p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
Value |
-0.00191853870615035 |
-2.85430870041226e-06 |
-1.73609003562201e-06 |
-1.25297531064096e-06 |
0.0086728975612873 |
0.0329439911452255 |
-0.0100125731518252 |
-0.00580023097612853 |
-0.00512917960524305 |
-0.00459736025802432 |
-0.00416415094661912 |
-0.00378821064081496 |
-0.00327841793653646 |
-0.00308373009880934 |
-0.00289585777162981 |
-0.00272957152179669 |
-0.00322339380139685 |
-0.00493464700694509 |
-0.00196310119230425 |
-0.00207814923483206 |
-0.00198545462784463 |
-0.00190072533721983 |
-0.00182349798172996 |
-0.00176020649703209 |
-0.00179948531550744 |
-0.00171631555700702 |
-0.00164855759385946 |
-0.00158594736525325 |
-0.000920266969192293 |
0.00088759618251171 |
-0.00172265935214131 |
-0.00147062064463734 |
-0.00142368124347621 |
-0.00137961503085675 |
-0.00133782347952916 |
0.0847532266014998 |
-0.00079746666098741 |
-0.0042609193642541 |
-0.00338903306576837 |
-0.00330977213752801 |
0.00579616823720608 |
0.00321344529833600 |
-0.00402353683161558 |
0.00626193632304744 |
-0.00425587004486142 |
-0.00339751840200465 |
0.00628912861352713 |
-0.00123380499417688 |
-0.00465156636231660 |
0.0061634403086034 |
-0.00443031509858760 |
-0.00356793232529773 |
-0.00371995599526549 |
-0.00199347156130356 |
0.00613997139018032 |
-0.00504521853499794 |
-0.00334862603594913 |
-0.003349612758591 |