Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	2452	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	2232	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2373	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	3127	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	2802	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	2641	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	2787	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	2619	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	2806	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	2193	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	2323	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2529	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2412	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	2262	2217.5923	1874.2205	2560.964	0.3999	0.1336	0.4672	0.1336
50	2154	2368.5563	1989.8528	2747.2599	0.1334	0.7094	0.4908	0.411
51	3230	3121.4855	2732.6916	3510.2793	0.2922	1	0.4889	0.9998
52	2295	2802.3036	2412.8337	3191.7736	0.0053	0.0157	0.5006	0.9752
53	2715	2639.9864	2247.5092	3032.4636	0.354	0.9575	0.498	0.8726
54	2733	2786.4358	2391.2054	3181.6662	0.3955	0.6384	0.4989	0.9683
55	2317	2619.4132	2223.5848	3015.2416	0.0671	0.2869	0.5008	0.8478
56	2730	2805.5543	2409.7217	3201.387	0.3542	0.9922	0.4991	0.9743
57	1913	2193.1368	1797.2005	2589.0731	0.0828	0.0039	0.5003	0.1393
58	2390	2323.0138	1926.9533	2719.0743	0.3701	0.9788	0.5	0.3298
59	2484	2528.8961	2132.7892	2925.003	0.4121	0.754	0.4998	0.7185
60	1960	2412.0896	2015.9798	2808.1993	0.0126	0.361	0.5002	0.5002

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.079	0.02	0.0017	1972.0475	164.3373	12.8194
50	0.0816	-0.0906	0.0075	46034.4145	3836.2012	61.9371
51	0.0635	0.0348	0.0029	11775.4067	981.2839	31.3255
52	0.0709	-0.181	0.0151	257356.9863	21446.4155	146.4459
53	0.0759	0.0284	0.0024	5627.0388	468.9199	21.6546
54	0.0724	-0.0192	0.0016	2855.3842	237.9487	15.4256
55	0.0771	-0.1155	0.0096	91453.7652	7621.1471	87.2992
56	0.072	-0.0269	0.0022	5708.4571	475.7048	21.8107
57	0.0921	-0.1277	0.0106	78476.643	6539.7202	80.8685
58	0.087	0.0288	0.0024	4487.1476	373.929	19.3372
59	0.0799	-0.0178	0.0015	2015.6611	167.9718	12.9604
60	0.0838	-0.1874	0.0156	204384.9612	17032.0801	130.507