Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[48])
36	2291	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
37	1588	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	2105	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	2191	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	3591	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	4668	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	4885	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	5822	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	5599	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	5340	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	3082	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	2010	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	2301	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	1514	1614.0204	1075.5316	2152.5092	0.3579	0.0062	0.5377	0.0062
50	1979	2119.4799	1540.325	2698.6347	0.3172	0.9798	0.5195	0.2695
51	2480	2206.8887	1622.272	2791.5055	0.1799	0.7776	0.5212	0.3762
52	3499	3606.9807	3018.1434	4195.818	0.3596	0.9999	0.5212	1
53	4676	4682.2287	4093.2636	5271.1938	0.4917	1	0.5189	1
54	5585	4898.8143	4308.3419	5489.2867	0.0114	0.7702	0.5183	1
55	5610	5835.1207	5243.6373	6426.604	0.2278	0.7964	0.5173	1
56	5796	5611.3716	5019.1523	6203.591	0.2706	0.5018	0.5163	1
57	6199	5351.7715	4758.7481	5944.7949	0.0026	0.071	0.5155	1
58	3030	3093.1611	2499.4584	3686.8638	0.4174	0	0.5147	0.9955
59	1930	2020.5819	1426.2733	2614.8905	0.3826	4e-04	0.5139	0.1775
60	2552	2311.041	1716.1777	2905.9043	0.2136	0.8953	0.5132	0.5132

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
49	0.1702	-0.062	0.0052	10004.0809	833.6734	28.8734
50	0.1394	-0.0663	0.0055	19734.5913	1644.5493	40.553
51	0.1352	0.1238	0.0103	74589.7561	6215.813	78.8404
52	0.0833	-0.0299	0.0025	11659.8295	971.6525	31.1713
53	0.0642	-0.0013	1e-04	38.7969	3.2331	1.7981
54	0.0615	0.1401	0.0117	470850.8304	39237.5692	198.0848
55	0.0517	-0.0386	0.0032	50679.3225	4223.2769	64.9867
56	0.0538	0.0329	0.0027	34087.6339	2840.6362	53.2976
57	0.0565	0.1583	0.0132	717796.1393	59816.3449	244.5738
58	0.0979	-0.0204	0.0017	3989.3238	332.4436	18.233
59	0.1501	-0.0448	0.0037	8205.0819	683.7568	26.1487
60	0.1313	0.1043	0.0087	58061.2428	4838.4369	69.5589