| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0342 | 0.4031 | 0.5346 | 0.139 | -0.3888 | -0.3652 |
| (p-val) | (0.8499 ) | (0.0013 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.4891 ) | (0.0291 ) | (0.0311 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.418 | 0.5526 | 0.1676 | -0.3887 | -0.3684 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.2064 ) | (0.0291 ) | (0.0285 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.4222 | 0.5569 | 0 | -0.4797 | -0.392 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0048 ) | (0.0158 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 10.9845028700717 |
| 349.098142273962 |
| 81.4633471855314 |
| -278.766706594484 |
| -560.89491396613 |
| -787.622056802042 |
| 223.81041933827 |
| 252.583430955455 |
| -64.2640640254719 |
| 80.73040441068 |
| 270.627944194231 |
| 192.475870416700 |
| 89.0883775511372 |
| -302.316979338774 |
| 122.280120354141 |
| 941.407337774104 |
| 198.398814682621 |
| -512.471564985318 |
| 1093.51318763054 |
| -48.423853621373 |
| 692.910224832028 |
| 26.079799286632 |
| -381.837971016715 |
| 166.213763786132 |
| 575.99873286274 |
| -138.603318979601 |
| -400.786387170289 |
| 109.657795744652 |
| 267.895560706265 |
| 71.0440187583216 |
| -221.237482722575 |
| -859.12342391504 |
| 227.217599437225 |
| 783.905790519395 |
| -660.231228952141 |
| 932.01242663218 |
| 773.101071239821 |
| 906.591178563678 |
| -434.797368190746 |
| 1106.02138904352 |
| -1203.47774140879 |
| 637.713874315654 |
| -339.209390388509 |
| -23.1384684077148 |
| -80.7725113823799 |
| -294.659095720157 |
| 114.889591721596 |
| -242.372208125449 |
| -1600.54130499084 |
| -83.8242244224257 |
| 98.4060165844421 |
| -164.177550448057 |
| 916.333965820262 |
| 1772.39376664942 |
| 474.247518575659 |
| 654.942821965808 |
