| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4258 | 0.0929 | 0.0533 | -0.4691 | -0.1281 |
| (p-val) | (0.002 ) | (0.5182 ) | (0.6926 ) | (0.0038 ) | (0.4469 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4343 | 0.1174 | 0 | -0.4811 | -0.1286 |
| (p-val) | (0.0015 ) | (0.3668 ) | (NA ) | (0.0026 ) | (0.4482 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4194 | 0.1113 | 0 | -0.4144 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0019 ) | (0.3926 ) | (NA ) | (0.0015 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4706 | 0 | 0 | -0.4043 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0021 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 6.37598706895282 |
| 193.112796156564 |
| 447.805026885614 |
| -588.689714940649 |
| -196.413588507446 |
| 33.3953539250992 |
| -284.594789459344 |
| 162.874871959820 |
| 14.6466086169682 |
| -460.022407482216 |
| -483.92503608696 |
| -102.145432475125 |
| -498.379193570998 |
| -20.9455687383278 |
| -443.498843341936 |
| 256.056204089027 |
| -580.872774247073 |
| -292.250049194493 |
| -264.205664294686 |
| 398.537436027808 |
| 285.490474250696 |
| -276.336138472884 |
| -423.121377769891 |
| 321.034087725885 |
| -807.555439130542 |
| 158.803021127254 |
| -64.4785827544571 |
| 41.5896101358385 |
| 376.778584807881 |
| 97.7714316942565 |
| 111.418677145101 |
| -168.505338132464 |
| 457.020343122221 |
| -126.121469339543 |
| -277.030060842044 |
| -1155.4477425419 |
| -376.332552366775 |
| 560.866513170363 |
| -159.542072404046 |
| -185.245948690053 |
| 259.242333100536 |
| -228.519411872808 |
| 299.560589568781 |
| -91.0326269566558 |
| 9.35487618264597 |
| -90.0932607051682 |
| -272.509736761583 |
| 541.507526266461 |
| 282.466931906795 |
| -900.730747132239 |
| -269.753292174928 |
| -188.083116540245 |
| -235.392969777482 |
| 260.955215810631 |
| -286.721167436526 |
| -134.215434528737 |
| -6.01674159011054 |
| 106.386363260823 |
| -127.647289296377 |
| 218.026250924401 |
| 518.737724177226 |
