| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.4338 | 0.0357 | 0.0891 | -0.5128 | -0.1802 |
| (p-val) | (0.0014 ) | (0.8061 ) | (0.5013 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2792 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4471 | 0 | 0.1032 | -0.506 | -0.1782 |
| (p-val) | (4e-04 ) | (NA ) | (0.3879 ) | (8e-04 ) | (0.2848 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4801 | 0 | 0 | -0.5171 | -0.1911 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (6e-04 ) | (0.2518 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.4637 | 0 | 0 | -0.4234 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 4.46699193368938 |
| 67.4858452920268 |
| 299.971127940149 |
| -412.841335067506 |
| -127.867826053876 |
| 51.2797147921555 |
| -257.185804209467 |
| -6.34178373903017 |
| 81.3124510587375 |
| -362.794605142081 |
| -284.272547339735 |
| -86.1362695863367 |
| -385.080116553468 |
| -5.95532491567377 |
| -282.547425478256 |
| 84.8249742780857 |
| -429.934573711546 |
| -130.742277131268 |
| -282.250591558963 |
| 280.981616674588 |
| 189.106801133655 |
| -334.432185848183 |
| -124.638403987761 |
| 257.995775759249 |
| -668.226325083358 |
| 230.902404609833 |
| -95.633966486676 |
| 119.312348637854 |
| 174.473708253070 |
| -42.8904323042844 |
| 87.3679783164216 |
| -65.3544896655735 |
| 341.17644603306 |
| -68.3988315042034 |
| -248.530024254875 |
| -839.011043609716 |
| -235.68386890323 |
| 406.348658339874 |
| -174.470866039452 |
| 33.6748733646614 |
| 156.840914639043 |
| -91.2208427848163 |
| 387.051368753146 |
| 144.025748341642 |
| 46.178907518537 |
| 238.576641456797 |
| -19.2513280673666 |
| 547.045441750367 |
| 325.076012611341 |
| -411.885098996517 |
| -32.6463925460957 |
| -60.4607114648511 |
| 31.4512915718246 |
| 81.993640331225 |
| -79.2702652744729 |
| -113.694580447362 |
| 81.750068371758 |
| 44.7139589137832 |
| -171.280556794001 |
| -37.4114281843631 |
| 364.207238309089 |
