ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	-0.2193	0.3971	0.141	0.6664	0.175	0.0012	-0.9991
(p-val)	(0.7564 )	(0.2752 )	(0.3602 )	(0.3463 )	(0.492 )	(0.9965 )	(0.07 )
Estimates ( 2 )	-0.2134	0.3945	0.1406	0.6605	0.1747	0	-0.9997
(p-val)	(0.7625 )	(0.2769 )	(0.363 )	(0.3495 )	(0.41 )	(NA )	(0.0709 )
Estimates ( 3 )	0	0.2996	0.1147	0.4497	0.1861	0	-1.0002
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.055 )	(0.4232 )	(0.0026 )	(0.3767 )	(NA )	(0.0715 )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0.3096	0	0.4683	0.1875	0	-1.0001
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0417 )	(NA )	(0.0028 )	(0.3808 )	(NA )	(0.0421 )
Estimates ( 5 )	0	0.311	0	0.4651	0	0	-0.708
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0385 )	(NA )	(0.0035 )	(NA )	(NA )	(0.056 )
Estimates ( 6 )	0	0.3524	0	0.5202	0	0	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.0479 )	(NA )	(6e-04 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
4.46698911427547
61.2152693269461
274.315853476090
-380.537324522319
-148.899522836432
78.7732357072102
-232.147420692287
-6.25038286352474
98.727756925624
-332.730966578929
-264.244053978767
-55.7184581414308
-322.207563931369
-8.6473782671426
-223.494471104933
63.3878708250094
-380.093231253922
-132.757716041153
-235.436360434865
268.975679287145
218.955321513802
-349.364958476164
-141.319196101926
259.931735883740
-632.521068860442
181.001163408637
-39.3916784280434
73.581718295527
145.923484955356
-61.5361921411316
37.2033216234185
-36.7889618023292
345.104982163135
-109.542859608326
-302.877758393129
-789.580263159298
-311.698044353946
466.255079291524
-154.427391537523
-8.3506501638146
130.159419789995
-112.039569866513
319.748241662181
182.900884481214
101.284172613431
127.185930992282
-119.254896471998
427.008770501798
164.345683684487