ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	0.7519	-0.1632	0.1256	-0.3392	-0.1742	0.1694	-0.9998
(p-val)	(0.2749 )	(0.6181 )	(0.4393 )	(0.6182 )	(0.5085 )	(0.5631 )	(0.1919 )
Estimates ( 2 )	0.4185	-0.0198	0.135	0	-0.1823	0.1672	-0.9999
(p-val)	(0.0052 )	(0.9041 )	(0.3621 )	(NA )	(0.4887 )	(0.5681 )	(0.1989 )
Estimates ( 3 )	0.4115	0	0.1276	0	-0.1901	0.1614	-1.0002
(p-val)	(0.0028 )	(NA )	(0.3439 )	(NA )	(0.4552 )	(0.5752 )	(0.2004 )
Estimates ( 4 )	0.4159	0	0.1331	0	-0.3667	0	-0.6666
(p-val)	(0.0026 )	(NA )	(0.3232 )	(NA )	(0.1666 )	(NA )	(0.2562 )
Estimates ( 5 )	0.4504	0	0	0	-0.3539	0	-0.7004
(p-val)	(9e-04 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(0.2093 )	(NA )	(0.3044 )
Estimates ( 6 )	0.4182	0	0	0	-0.6897	0	0
(p-val)	(0.002 )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(0 )	(NA )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-0.60499812614048
-219.236680760478
-521.20260826423
482.927830041167
-147.204530470576
-145.432081071953
80.6086100516124
196.214940558138
44.6491154297207
164.782634516565
220.253632696728
259.779416310964
-68.5303693253219
62.2065882876812
-8.65246798735436
240.84627339046
555.615590954205
58.0030307635308
430.015553172425
-254.144625380234
117.027624842844
375.425205445409
23.9285543068113
-901.361591360364
448.302606917196
153.490252948633
-12.9378635347481
-39.4671338228205
228.517957248230
-7.34572938124658
451.942565355992
77.7171256677967
-228.006219241165
423.919339108727
207.966345817754
923.727856670796
777.528028758897
-686.472259429622
58.8926772421796
-57.9567706074544
-59.0642282836198
140.441660565683
-245.378974963409
-188.670199414414
-87.4060445975076
13.3476891900010
-26.9947557449186
-55.5097147829353
362.558592953968