| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.227 | 0.1193 | -0.0617 | 0.2224 | 0.0696 |
| (p-val) | (0.0597 ) | (0.3206 ) | (0.5995 ) | (0.0729 ) | (0.5775 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.2187 | 0.1055 | 0 | 0.2187 | 0.0681 |
| (p-val) | (0.0675 ) | (0.3689 ) | (NA ) | (0.0753 ) | (0.5838 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.2147 | 0.1054 | 0 | 0.2383 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0725 ) | (0.3696 ) | (NA ) | (0.0452 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.2391 | 0 | 0 | 0.2369 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0425 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0468 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0999999429627925 |
| -2.59403088838261e-05 |
| -1.15251545444139e-05 |
| 0.0971195278537549 |
| -0.117972563463992 |
| 0.0105867134732649 |
| -0.184335821407015 |
| 0.240224186152563 |
| -0.123289589461097 |
| -0.72343674116542 |
| -0.310245531841829 |
| 0.178482315946823 |
| 0.297832870654560 |
| 0.199169274651496 |
| 0.543568942982617 |
| 0.706319421833598 |
| -0.532649000620012 |
| 0.368960383770442 |
| -2.20394390730691 |
| 0.54740332810097 |
| 0.455697646325419 |
| -0.135535960279810 |
| -0.117404409174384 |
| -0.465817681021036 |
| -0.982164967579976 |
| 0.140560708852831 |
| 0.252216284563133 |
| -0.0307443681004145 |
| -0.0582478769732262 |
| 0.309074308130249 |
| 0.423428716302098 |
| 0.589392022845658 |
| 0.746238551646769 |
| 0.0192977818866780 |
| 0.159093096409208 |
| -0.348789619643185 |
| 0.595215759620672 |
| -0.16441798299968 |
| 0.0153198872645248 |
| 0.12230355053849 |
| 0.0944191231715763 |
| 0.206538960255401 |
| -0.309698126754341 |
| 0.10223788080107 |
| 0.0377541392760463 |
| -0.76180812081995 |
| -0.0901647671335724 |
| -0.215724271870499 |
| 0.224559550514243 |
| -0.0137857224660110 |
| 0.268237138111914 |
| -0.389949979768119 |
| 0.790090741870912 |
| 0.446096833426296 |
| 0.174710345116381 |
| -0.0409651289801616 |
| -0.232596226571545 |
| -0.254560060260985 |
| -0.0884674964072474 |
| -0.053758813065258 |
| 0.147828577690518 |
| -0.0337475014642621 |
| 0.217920037547017 |
| 0.549788799084098 |
| 0.948616911496288 |
| 0.00113748354463894 |
| -0.127960947992449 |
| 1.15715718633965 |
| 0.189215406034990 |
| -0.44269536240634 |
| -0.262763109320915 |
| 0.507871211259783 |
| 0.511800413739167 |
