| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 1.4753 | -0.529 | 0.0517 | -0.9188 | 1.1461 | -0.1484 | -0.9186 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.676 | 0.2682 | 0.6897 | 1.1075 | -0.1115 | -0.881 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0183 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.5106 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.6814 | 0.26 | 0.693 | 0.9851 | 0 | -0.7556 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0196 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.0058 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 417.127658007363 |
| -212.194668470488 |
| 490.329893350204 |
| 288.125482126609 |
| 473.732721976609 |
| 275.235150464233 |
| -482.769707442293 |
| -325.420703784923 |
| 736.407589929015 |
| 601.276218236079 |
| -268.064991862188 |
| 104.414552859321 |
| -369.231267298241 |
| 170.867979332293 |
| -552.197023425143 |
| -14.1643820198486 |
| 243.457949263750 |
| -18.3063524477978 |
| 25.3083498614951 |
| -48.7486988103792 |
| -109.998981391337 |
| -144.270133319235 |
| -20.4779190512227 |
| -268.557149443918 |
| 73.4973074975386 |
| -299.557350395007 |
| 529.584706308896 |
| -389.488306133626 |
| 116.513238604612 |
| -37.3600499082073 |
| 548.76240865537 |
| 199.933717244935 |
| -90.2814989297118 |
| -320.946904437108 |
| 343.874244118772 |
| -738.354127299012 |
| 282.737825300481 |
| -22.565346525694 |
| 186.575693399288 |
| 252.827343791413 |
| 204.404373000786 |
| -22.1718178607569 |
| -142.305092743622 |
| 418.20957534884 |
| -277.230843183094 |
| -390.388196758858 |
| -1062.20309177000 |
| -231.418983918833 |
| 923.451899866601 |
| -48.1622191134834 |
| 98.1488331518557 |
| 270.309388844823 |
| -81.6135796003743 |
| 327.691689511935 |
| 0.453629384238194 |
| 208.745441120593 |
| -248.150694596317 |
| -411.293933486247 |
| 411.998164250189 |
| -95.1780902277769 |
| -648.474861652161 |
| -220.088281807961 |
| 113.531484746907 |
| 186.566401348056 |
| 480.44124446954 |
| -91.5996791525565 |
| -56.4463789664464 |
| 296.106416841665 |
| 47.0509088382925 |
| -385.047195935872 |
| 11.3334402342258 |
| 317.328312194855 |
