| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5054 | -0.0354 | 0.0592 | -1 | 1.101 | -0.1017 | -0.9493 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.788 ) | (0.6121 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.507 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.4906 | 0 | 0.0458 | -1 | 1.076 | -0.0807 | -0.869 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.6765 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.6289 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4993 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1.0665 | -0.0712 | -0.8707 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.6638 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.5016 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0.9942 | 0 | -0.8501 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 3.80399295137371 |
| -162.589275774698 |
| 312.058803869603 |
| 130.7708880178 |
| 339.359675209682 |
| 248.481766550390 |
| -311.460748120753 |
| -170.522388845296 |
| 504.564593555147 |
| 317.740069302953 |
| -170.263062467675 |
| 195.205357260261 |
| -124.303763057399 |
| 145.072742969804 |
| -333.944429415204 |
| -105.03475575158 |
| 168.560440202986 |
| -149.651519213554 |
| -139.541941883557 |
| -9.93836940008193 |
| -148.422709881937 |
| -132.325177158313 |
| -147.134654003805 |
| -292.998150520191 |
| -77.3955978762976 |
| -304.474021643595 |
| 90.0296754679455 |
| -391.974195728403 |
| -15.8577319608271 |
| -209.232460348780 |
| 182.831715363433 |
| 130.752526079163 |
| -213.779547678341 |
| -47.55565979137 |
| 187.586174536045 |
| -618.085752171794 |
| 161.708738526645 |
| -136.257735942186 |
| 104.170252614067 |
| 105.320888984526 |
| 19.7430992056638 |
| 64.1755528763942 |
| -91.355618683123 |
| 317.603036321296 |
| -61.6473207806175 |
| -220.840567021166 |
| -798.862949661279 |
| -317.235286986109 |
| 370.958831774730 |
| -232.555562102427 |
| 32.0448497906002 |
| 81.8181224181985 |
| -53.5161502554158 |
| 327.593714248071 |
| 129.001158549729 |
| 123.111695578202 |
| 159.383687961607 |
| -87.3324370957195 |
| 386.207911431425 |
| 75.2057206436759 |
| -319.520523652889 |
| -161.095290607845 |
| -13.1508007628756 |
| 10.0689124204705 |
| 76.49322223263 |
| -25.5223026634428 |
| -76.6284868242768 |
| 201.822496678983 |
| 31.9265800608789 |
| -242.885481257777 |
| -106.293642782682 |
| 193.99189065979 |
