| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0437 | 0.3869 | 0.4531 | 0.2065 |
| (p-val) | (0.8478 ) | (0.0066 ) | (0.0021 ) | (0.3763 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.4045 | 0.4711 | 0.244 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.0518 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.4129 | 0.4691 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (5e-04 ) | (1e-04 ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 10.9846622141056 |
| 432.907328441546 |
| 107.043170430094 |
| -310.718340613830 |
| -563.066680162026 |
| -821.88221024375 |
| 304.409150311039 |
| 222.739102478217 |
| -153.617567620326 |
| 117.903300209547 |
| 263.985770460607 |
| 137.436428442010 |
| 118.639481312424 |
| -380.133330845621 |
| 135.687022465525 |
| 1101.94387046273 |
| 282.984862022675 |
| -277.656619420353 |
| 1213.63229289218 |
| -205.937519696414 |
| 837.416857980847 |
| 70.1576377968922 |
| -457.026488841564 |
| 285.390734606293 |
| 633.253313527115 |
| -24.3105989163414 |
| -361.404686409927 |
| -59.5061904717804 |
| 439.442498115066 |
| 576.516427060546 |
| -682.949120465639 |
| -727.451380194614 |
| 134.705463012109 |
| 768.15499178165 |
| -584.071129605762 |
| 967.307222238165 |
| 516.449625765914 |
| 1055.90052753478 |
| -189.924399550924 |
| 920.784714361121 |
| -1400.11827739204 |
| 787.658453797334 |
| -365.585953900272 |
| 446.272932939253 |
| -211.579722277853 |
| -488.398843808552 |
| 667.771097626739 |
| -565.189276526768 |
| -1909.29498007315 |
| -213.161114599616 |
| 379.222878002443 |
| -508.45398793519 |
| 1441.35142606928 |
| 1235.12491915561 |
| 800.229725020592 |
| 935.058799094239 |
