ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection
Iteration	ar1	ar2	ar3	ma1	sar1	sar2	sma1
Estimates ( 1 )	-0.2051	-0.0719	-0.2273	0.2491	-0.5829	-0.345	-0.9869
(p-val)	(0.6793 )	(0.6281 )	(0.1384 )	(0.6151 )	(0.0052 )	(0.0998 )	(0.2339 )
Estimates ( 2 )	0	-0.0792	-0.2101	0.0534	-0.5746	-0.3372	-0.9849
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.5855 )	(0.1808 )	(0.7117 )	(0.0055 )	(0.1093 )	(0.2566 )
Estimates ( 3 )	0	-0.0794	-0.2034	0	-0.5623	-0.3313	-0.9869
(p-val)	(NA )	(0.5843 )	(0.1947 )	(NA )	(0.0067 )	(0.1166 )	(0.228 )
Estimates ( 4 )	0	0	-0.2059	0	-0.5466	-0.3104	-0.9677
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(0.192 )	(NA )	(0.0103 )	(0.1475 )	(0.446 )
Estimates ( 5 )	0	0	-0.1456	0	-0.9532	-0.5544	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(0.3604 )	(NA )	(0 )	(2e-04 )	(NA )
Estimates ( 6 )	0	0	0	0	-0.9435	-0.5703	0
(p-val)	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(NA )	(0 )	(1e-04 )	(NA )

Estimated ARIMA Residuals
Value
-38.2209256877886
-25.7062537484295
-8.78614604054669
-143.549433697964
-42.9624591079809
-88.9885459881577
14.0886325887361
-23.3914618674755
-3.91688057556558
-33.0598387059355
-26.2713299071082
43.9553272870348
-36.9019356180568
62.3813419251369
2.35446996941928
-92.274974039265
-94.7424012613132
31.3059146633623
-10.6487210360685
6.90342728015465
19.6619133704088
-54.7012097004945
15.2583646523227
11.261626980628
-35.0793183508263
18.5171282344817
-52.5298586714035
23.4750033012650
-40.7051183197006
-34.6020860920868
37.3239205977251
-4.97010837846055
-36.163765585957
111.429795553408
-32.3992721559408
-40.5775992934779
-9.22380434616887
54.9949346728775
85.2961638680839
19.5871368793974
42.8461686673343
66.6921201775877
47.6411089815228
2.92145998384694
-75.4623334127209
9.72848590678222
61.3092731667239
3.92785954109058