| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1858 | 0.4307 | 0.8621 | -0.1858 | 0.4307 | 0.8621 |
| (p-val) | (0.2691 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (0.2691 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.8694 | 0.0662 | 0.0704 | 0 | -0.2367 | 0.0704 |
| (p-val) | (0.2213 ) | (0.9202 ) | (0.5968 ) | (NA ) | (0.0481 ) | (0.5968 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.5999 | 0 | 0.8984 | 0 | 0.8163 | 0.8984 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 252763.276135812 |
| 263753.529751669 |
| 287540.609034478 |
| 555851.070638031 |
| 237729.67414228 |
| 27837.5467509175 |
| 1601848.58659173 |
| -272124.795644052 |
| -787142.266741997 |
| 75454.0449627428 |
| -564732.776154115 |
| 53885.1131907752 |
| -233482.289812151 |
| 317316.139973744 |
| 188787.461262996 |
| 571847.723803291 |
| 255950.600729871 |
| 16097.2649767038 |
| 1905363.09095083 |
| -802049.780802273 |
| -471929.153610713 |
| 11865.0801709222 |
| -578395.479257045 |
| -31265.8733313988 |
| -157588.469730131 |
| 217918.748949208 |
| 320709.606517423 |
| 607015.026318069 |
| -46092.5317352638 |
| 414370.085525298 |
| 1319269.54295897 |
| -71401.3381491378 |
| -752096.18362593 |
| 81855.8329052685 |
| -567835.564495284 |
| 27913.1088689943 |
| -245713.194822166 |
| 231297.429759363 |
| 210835.309391181 |
| 579751.293046493 |
| 29061.0457216369 |
| 216737.500947516 |
| 1469788.86987465 |
| -114093.632279669 |
| -752341.249178685 |
| 69906.3121600226 |
| -594566.281163677 |
| 39895.5338691872 |
| -272125.049392404 |
| 380693.334843944 |
| 191830.343919278 |
| 382578.99615481 |
| 380768.94508414 |
| -19568.5070645164 |
| 1596530.19315754 |
| -95473.9500747365 |
| -836648.894188938 |
| 114485.203973582 |
| -615639.109904271 |
| -942.197051530471 |
| -192942.784928461 |
| 205647.21489267 |
| 234974.927248271 |
| 537703.126010801 |
| 108271.985633554 |
| 206553.390393858 |
| 1453266.98345674 |
| 14976.851669915 |
| -886871.794774738 |
| 143456.615894666 |
| -638740.264005275 |
| 29120.595268735 |
