| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.974 | -0.0759 | 0.1012 | -0.7663 | 0.4738 | -0.1615 | -0.9817 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.7039 ) | (0.5086 ) | (0 ) | (0.0154 ) | (0.3964 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.9321 | 0 | 0.0676 | -0.7625 | 0.4663 | -0.1375 | -1.0091 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.7125 ) | (0 ) | (0.0157 ) | (0.4758 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 1.0008 | 0 | 0 | -1.2512 | 0.4782 | -0.144 | -0.9997 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0098 ) | (0.3905 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.9944 | 0 | 0 | -0.806 | 0.4999 | 0 | -0.9998 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0067 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 9.25191650214777 |
| 22.2914871230951 |
| -37.1571787649763 |
| 34.224161696956 |
| -175.791407723369 |
| 104.976083788091 |
| -61.2440566193924 |
| -396.729670519991 |
| -396.44439811595 |
| -260.009316250619 |
| 127.969010838924 |
| -36.029843990865 |
| 204.138369304772 |
| 44.2385868220351 |
| -159.706287586558 |
| 203.135138014012 |
| 121.756524240195 |
| -16.2019122127222 |
| -243.900810016438 |
| 391.694842810854 |
| -164.230167509228 |
| 293.821184035543 |
| 150.197655607195 |
| -191.027489037513 |
| 251.842321753037 |
| -153.374881204494 |
| 8.18402596025766 |
| 276.1970369319 |
| 7.49356404167146 |
| 290.310133584017 |
| 154.709015298645 |
| -344.563215952582 |
| -268.812624669854 |
| 308.788007352866 |
| 53.4487117440643 |
| 309.745158451437 |
| 86.3072721974973 |
| -34.8646306292142 |
| 196.561770310134 |
| 226.513512286837 |
| -188.002590164262 |
| -58.5622808860067 |
| 209.148059687373 |
| 145.969099713114 |
| 129.401752384417 |
| -33.0299340425404 |
| -386.049808213019 |
| 144.248501280284 |
| 117.138964770494 |
| 129.897118044286 |
| -152.218688906803 |
| -55.0236881931042 |
| 144.022136076712 |
| -16.856654827111 |
| 144.68580457337 |
| -160.202973634943 |
| 329.620650920572 |
| 138.317376113197 |
| 9.00038368421579 |
| 50.5918463806914 |
| 313.875297519637 |
| 236.907637607489 |
| 110.051329051183 |
| -383.848947462751 |
